It was another profitable day yesterday for the stats and
best bets, as Another Boy (3/1 > 6/4F) and Double Czech (6/1 > 4/1) made
it 2 wins from 3 at Chestow, and took the total profit up to £617.08, from £10
stakes, in the last 13 days.
So, why stop now, let’s hope for the same again, as we move
onto Wednesday, with meetings across the UK at Ayr (F), Kempton (AW), Lingfield
(F), Southwell (J), and Warwick (J). The stats and best bets are focused on the
afternoon flat meetings from Ayr and Lingfield.
AYR
2:20
Trainer Richard Fahey and jockey Tony Hamilton combine in
the opener, and the pair have done well together season, with an overall level
stake profit of +£43.86 (£1 stakes).
When teamed together with 2 year olds, they boast a 35%
strike-rate, with 7 wins from 20 starts.
Fahey has been in fine form with his 2 year olds this year,
with an overall 28% strike-rate (12 wins from 43 runners), with 49% (21)
finishing in the top 2. The statistics further improve with 2 year old maidens,
with 11 wins from 35 runners (31% strike rate).
Fahey saddles Birkdale for his first run; a bay colt out of
a winner over 6f at 2 year old (Duquesa).
BIRKDALE – 4/1 Betfair
2:50
Trainer Richard Guest is in good form of late, with a 29%
strike rate from 29 runners. He’s also having a profitable season, with a LSP
of +£32.50 (£1 stakes).
Guest combines with 5lb claimer, Jordan Nason, who has an
impressive record at Ayr, with 7 wins from 20 rides (35% strike-rate), and a
LSP of +£47.75 (£1 stakes). Nason takes the ride on Lord Buffhead, who has 2
wins from 5 at Ayr (over 5f and 6f), and is back down below his last winning
mark.
LORD BUFFHEAD – 12/1 Sky Bet
3:50
Jockey Ben Curtis has been in great form of late with 6 wins
from 25 rides (24% strike-rate), and a level stake profit of +£20.13 (£1
stakes). Overall so far this season, Curtis has shown a level stake profit of
+£30.95 (£1 stakes).
Curtis takes the ride of Alan Swinbank-trained Dancin Alpha,
who was a beaten favourite last time out.
Swinbank has had 10 wins from 44 runners in 4 year old+
handicaps this year (23% SR)
DANCIN ALPHA – 8/1 Bet365
LINGFIELD
3:00
Jockey Pat Cosgrove has been in great form of late, showing
a huge LSP of +£47.00 (£1 stakes) in the last fortnight, with 7 wins from 30
rides (23% SR).
Cosgrove teams up once again with trainer George Baker, and
the pair have a good record this year, with a 24% strike-rate from 33 runners.
Baker saddles I’m Harry, who is 4 from 11 on the predicted ground/going, and 1
from 1 at the distance. Cosgrove has 2 wins from 7 rides on the 6 year old
gelding (and two 2nd’s).
I’M HARRY – 5/2 Paddy Power WIN
