Horse Racing UK | Stats & Best Bets | Newmarket

As promised earlier, a few stats and best bets, with the focus on this evening’s card at Newmarket.

GOING: GOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick 8.8) (Watering) (The re-positioning of the bend into the home straight has increased the distance of the 12f races by 9yds). (Rain)

NEWMARKET

5:15

Jockey Silvestre De Sousa rides debutante Highway Robber in the opener, for trainer Simon Crisford, who is 1 from 1 with 2 year old debutantes.

De Sousa has a 31% strike-rate on 2 year olds in 2015, with 5 wins from 16 (10 from 16 top 3 finishes). The jockey’s also in good-form (19% Strike-Rate – LSP +£10.75 (£1 Stakes)), and has a good record at this course over the last few years, with a huge LSP of +£80.07.

HIGHWAY ROBBER – 5/1 Bet365

7:25

When teamed together, trainer Sir Michael Stoute, and jockey Pat Dobbs have a 21% strike-rate with 3 year olds over the last 5 seasons – 6 wins from 28 – LSP +£24.00

Dobbs also has a 21% strike-rate over the last fortnight, with 6 wins from 28 rides, and over the last few years has a LSP of +£36.28 at this course.

ANGEL VISION – 5/1 Stan James WIN

8:00

Over the last few seasons, trainer Brian Ellison and jockey De Sousa have combined very well, with a 27% strike-rate over all (from 82 runners – LSP +£57.56). The strike-rate increases further when teamed together with 3 year olds, with 7 wins from 18 (39% SR).

CABELO – 9/1 Bet Victor

Racing UK | Dante Stakes | York

The second day of the Dante Festival from York gets under way very soon, with going currently described as ‘Good’, and conditions expected to stay dry, with sunny intervals forecast through the afternoon.

The feature race comes at 3:15 in the Group 2 Dante Stakes, and it’s currently John Gosden-trained Jack Hobbs who heads the market (11/4 Best Price), and is being well backed. It’s then Elm Park and John F Kennedy joint-second favourites at present, best price 4/1, and Gosden’s second choice Golden Horn at 9/2.

The last few years, draws 4 and 6 have found the winners, which will be occupied by Elm Park and John F Kennedy….

Before that, we have the fillies and mares Group 2 Middleton Stakes, with Sir Michael Stoute-trained Bragging clear favourite at 15/8, with Ribbons and Secret Gesture next best at 6/1. The trainer has won this race twice in the last 10 years, but not since 2009, when Crystal Capella made it successive wins for Sir Michael, having won it the previous year also, with Promising Lead.

There’s also a couple of Listed races from York, as well as plenty of other racing action across the UK, with meetings at Fontwell, Newmarket, Perth, and Salisbury.

Check back soon for stats and tips for this evenings cards.