As promised earlier, a few stats and best bets, with the
focus on this evening’s card at Newmarket.
GOING: GOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick 8.8) (Watering) (The
re-positioning of the bend into the home straight has increased the distance of
the 12f races by 9yds). (Rain)
NEWMARKET
5:15
Jockey Silvestre De Sousa rides debutante Highway Robber in
the opener, for trainer Simon Crisford, who is 1 from 1 with 2 year old
debutantes.
De Sousa has a 31% strike-rate on 2 year olds in 2015, with
5 wins from 16 (10 from 16 top 3 finishes). The jockey’s also in good-form (19%
Strike-Rate – LSP +£10.75 (£1 Stakes)), and has a good record at this course
over the last few years, with a huge LSP of +£80.07.
HIGHWAY ROBBER – 5/1 Bet365
7:25
When teamed together, trainer Sir Michael Stoute, and jockey
Pat Dobbs have a 21% strike-rate with 3 year olds over the last 5 seasons – 6 wins
from 28 – LSP +£24.00
Dobbs also has a 21% strike-rate over the last fortnight,
with 6 wins from 28 rides, and over the last few years has a LSP of +£36.28 at
this course.
ANGEL VISION – 5/1 Stan James WIN
8:00
Over the last few seasons, trainer Brian Ellison and jockey
De Sousa have combined very well, with a 27% strike-rate over all (from 82
runners – LSP +£57.56). The strike-rate increases further when teamed together
with 3 year olds, with 7 wins from 18 (39% SR).
CABELO – 9/1 Bet Victor
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