Wednesday's Early Positives - Free Horse Racing Tips

A look at a few of the key early market positives for today's UK racing action....


LINGFIELD

2:30 Western Playboy 7/1 > 6/1             3:30 Come On Dave  5/2 > 6/4

4:30 Story Writer       4/1 > 3/1


PONTEFRACT

2:10 Obboorr            5/1 > 4/1              3:10 Eddiemaurice      6/1 > 11/2
        Kudu Country    9/1 > 7/1

3:40 Rocket Ship       5/2 > 9/4              4:10 Mister Manannan 7/2 > 3/1
        Hidden Gold      3/1 > 11/4

4:40 Dolphin Rock     8/1 > 13/2            5:10 Comino             12/1 > 9/1
        Kiwi Bay           4/1 > 7/2


BRIGHTON

2:20 Amber Crystal   5/1 > 4/1              3:50 Skytrain              5/1 > 4/1
        Its Lady Mary   6/1 > 5/1                      Good Luck Charm 8/1 > 13/2

4:20 Artistic Charm 11/4 > 9/4              4:50 Sir Tyto             11/4 > 5/2
        Khatiba            3/1 > 11/4                    Wicked Tara       25/1 > 16/1

5:25 Forest Glen     15/8 > 13/8

Free Horse Racing Tips - Tuesday's Ripon Meeting

Just a quick post with a couple of free horse racing tips for Tuesday's evening card from Ripon.

6:15 - SILKS AND SADDLES BAR MAIDEN STAKES (Class 5) - 6f

Richard Fahey-trained FULLON CLARETS kept on to take second on debut at the beginning of June, over 5f at Catterick, and the step up to 6f here is sure to benefit. Summer Times is an obvious danger.


6:45 - CONSTANT SECURITY SERVICES NURSERY HANDICAP (Class 5) - 5f

JUST THE TIP (6/4 - Paddy Power) just gets the vote in the first handicap in the evenings card. Up 5lbs for latest win at Carlisle just over a week ago, where making-all. Trainer and jockey in decent form of late.



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Today's Positive Market Movers

A few key positives in the market for this afternoons UK horse racing......

RIPON

2:00 - HONEYSUCKLE LIL 13/2 > 9/2

2:30 - GREENBURY            6/1 > 7/2

3:00 - MUFFIN MCLEAY     11/4 > 2/1

3:30 - OUTDO                    7/2 > 5/2
          PIPERS NOTE         13/2 > 9/2
          RUBYS DAY           16/1 > 12/1

4:00 - DUTCH BREEZE       7/2 > 3/1
          OMAHA GOLD         5/1 > 4/1

4:30 - SPIRTITOFTHEUNION 11/10 > EVENS

5:00 - OPERA FAN          10/3 > 11/4


KEMPTON

3:15 - MURADIF              6/4 > EVENS

3:45 - MESSILA STAR      9/4 > 7/4

4:15 - WINDY CITI          6/1 > 4/1
           RISK N REWARD  7/1 > 4/1

4:45 - PLOUGH BOY        7/2 > 3/1

5:15 - JOHARA             11/4 > 2/1

5:50 - KHELFAN            16/1 > 12/1
          TOLLY MCGUINESS 14/1 > 12/1



All prices from Paddy Power

Check back soon for more stats and free horse racing tips.

Free Horse Racing Tips - Windsor

Another week begins, and there's a few meetings in the UK and Ireland for today, including Windsor, Cork and Carlisle. I've got a few free horse racing tips for the evening card at Windsor, so here they are....


6:30 - Sportsable - Grassroots to Paralymic Sports Club Handicap Class 5 - 5f 10y

8 runners set to compete for the first handicap here at Windsor, and it's PICC OF BURGAU (4/1 - Paddy Power) who just gets the vote, and can get her own back on Joyous, who beat her last time out. When teamed together in 2014, trainer Geoffrey Deacon and jockey George Baker have a 23% strike rate.


7:00 - Fexco Commercial FX Services Handicap Class 4 - 1m 67y

CRAFTMANSHIP (9/2 - BET365) has been in best form on last two starts, coming 3/14, just 3/4 lengths behind latest, and winning previous. Came 3/12 last year as a 2 year old, in only start at this course to-date.


7:30 - Royal Berkshire Odd Fellows Handicap Class 4 - 6f

Favour is for DESERT COMMAND (11/2 - Boylesport) who came 2/9 last time out at Epsom, and can go one better here to claim only 3rd career win. Both wins to-date have come over todays 6f distance. Trainer Andrew Balding has a very good record overall at the course with a 22% strike rate, and has been in good form of-late.

Monday's Racing - A few stats for Windsor

Top trainer and jockey stats for Monday's evening card at Winsor

Top 5 Trainers at the course (last 5 years) (wins/runs/strike rate) - (overall last 2 weeks)

Andrew Balding     24 wins from 109 - 22% SR - 6 wins from 34 - 18% SR

Sir Michael Stoute 23 wins from 102 - 23% SR - 7 wins from 34 - 21% SR

Jeremy Noseda     20 wins from 79  - 25% SR - 3 wins from 11 - 27% SR

Ralph Beckett       19 wins from 121 - 16% SR - 2 wins from 21 - 10% SR

John Flint              6 wins from 24   - 25% SR - 0 wins from 0 - 0% SR


Top 5 Jockeys at the course (last 5 years) (wins/runs/strike rate) - (overall last 2 weeks)

Richard Hughes  82 wins from 378 - 22% SR - 11 wins from 75 -15% SR

Frederik Tylicki    3 wins from 16   - 19% SR - 4 wins from 29 - 14% SR

Adam Kirby       26 wins from 164 - 16% SR - 7 wins from 59 - 12% SR

James Doyle     22 wins from149   - 15% SR - 8 wins from 45 - 18% SR

George Baker   17 wins from 120  - 14% SR - 7 wins from 34 - 21% SR


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Sunday's Racing - Early Market Positives

A decent Sunday of racing which sees meetings from Newbury, Market Rasen, Chester, and Galway. And just a quick look at the early positive movers in the market, to begin the day.


NEWBURY

2:10 - ALLERGIC REACTION 7/2 > 11/4

3:50 - WONDERSTRUCK     11/4 > 5/2

4:25 - RANDOM SUCCESS  11/2 > 9/2

5:25 - LAVENUE                12/1 > 11/1


MARKET RASEN

5:05 - SILENT KNIGHT        6/4 > 11/8


CHESTER

2:30 - ROUDEE                     4/1 > 3/1

3:05 - BOOMERANG BOB      12/1 > 9/1

3:40 - KNIGHT OWL              8/1 > 13/2
          CHOSEN CHARACTER 10/1 > 15/2
          SIR GUY PORTEUS     10/1 > 15/2

4:45 - ENGLISH SUMMER       7/4 > 13/8
          NOTARISED                4/1 > 3/1

5:15 - EMPRESS ALI            15/8 > 7/4


GALWAY

2:15 - LILLY THE LIONESS   15/2 > 13/2
          LUDDSDENENE           9/1 > 15/2

3:55 - NEARLY NAMAD          9/2 > 4/1
          AFATCAT                  11/1 > 9/1

4:30 - HIDDEN OASIS         13/2 > 5/1

5:00 - CAIRDIUIL                 4/1 > 7/2

5:30 - PYROMANIAC             5/1 > 7/2
          PIVOT BRIDGE         12/1 > 7/1





All prices from Paddy Power 

Glorious Goodwood Tips - Day 5

Another great day of racing in-store, and my member tips were sent out last night. I've decided to post them on here today, as I've not had chance to post my free tips from Doncaster. The prices were correct at time of sending to members, and will have changed, of course. As has the first race at 2:05 in terms of runners, with loads of non-runners!

2:05 - 32REDSport.com Handicap Class 2 - 6f
28 runners set to compete, so as expected, not the easiest to pick a winner. The best I can find, and my pick, is TATLISU (6/1 - Paddy Power), who's been back to 6f of late, and been in good form- 2/13 latest in Class 2 at Hamilton, and 1/12 previous start, beating SKYBET DASH winner Muthmir by a neck. Both run at good pace. By Red Clubs; from fast family. Ryan Moore is back aboard, and has been in good form of late.

The main danger for me, and maybe worth an each-way bet, is Stepping Out (10/1 - BET365), who's on a hat-trick here. Made all last time out, and in command towards finish. A step up in Class, but every chance of coming close. Course-distance winner. Excellent record at the 6f trip with 3 wins, 1 placed in 4 runs.

Another danger would be the 4x course winner Slip Sliding Away (25/1 - William Hill). Trainer Peter Hedges has a 35% strike rate at the course.



2:40 - Jaguar Stakes Handicap Class 2 - 1m 4f

Another big field, and a few with every chance, but it's an each-way bet on BLACK SHADOW (16/1 - Ladbrokes) that's advised. 3 Flat turf starts, 1 win, 2 second. The win was course win over 11f. Latest run was 2 lengths behind What About Carlo at Epsom (Class 2 - Good). Trip should be ideal. By 5x Group 1 winner New Approach.

Dangers in the race come from last time out winner (Thursday) on the course, Rainbow Rock (9/2 - Ladbrokes). Stepped up in trip after last two runs at 10f. Definitely on the up and every chance. Course-distance winner Oasis Fantasy (9/1 - Paddy Power) came 2/10 latest run, in Class 2 handicap at Ascot, and Richard Hughes takes over as jockey. Second Step is open to further progression, and can't be ruled out.



3:15 - Markel Insurance Nassau Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 - 1m 1f 192y

I can't see past top pedigree, VENUS DE MILO (11/4 - Paddy Power) for this one. Back to form latest two starts, 1/7 (G3), and 2/8 (G1), in Ireland. 4 wins and 3 seconds from 9 starts. 2 G3 wins, 3 G1 seconds.

Next best for me is Sultanina (9/2 - 888.sport), who should appreciate the step back down to 10f, with the fast ground no issue, though yet to race on g-f.



3:50 - 32RED CUP (Stewards' Cup) Handicap - 6f

I've said it a few times, and I'll say it again, another tough one to call in a wide open race! SKYBET Dash winner, MUTHMIR (11/2 - Coral) just gets the vote, and can make it two wins in a week here.

Dangers come from course-distance winner Intrinsic (15/2 - William Hill), who can progress further on the faster ground. Another course-distance winner, Joey's Destiny (25/1 - Ladbrokes) may also be worth an each-way bet at the price, and has been decent in some bigger fields in the past.

Competition Time!!

Glorious Goodwood - BETFRED MILE

A quick look into today's BETFRED MILE at Glorious Goodwood (3:05), on day 4. 18 runners now compete, with Russian Realm and Chosen Character both non-runners. I've looked at a few I think will be the top runners in the race....

Richard Hannon-trained Magic City (8/1 - BET365) won 3 big-field races over 7f last year, and has 3 wins from 5 at the course.

Velox (7/1 - BET365)has come down in trip, and that went in his favour last time out, winning the Coral Challenge at Sandown over 8f (by 3 lengths). Jockey, Andrea Atzeni has been on-fire of late with a 31% strike rate.

Charles Appleby-trained Steeler (16/1 - William Hill) could be a decent each-way bet; has 3 wins, 2 seconds, and 2 third from 8 starts. He was Group 2 winner of Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes at Newmarket 2012. Latest run (back from Meydan), back down in trip, 3/28 in Class 2 Royal Hunt Cup at Ascot. Run at good pace. 2 from 2 on the course.

Our Channel (16/1 - BetVictor) is an interesting one, 2nd in the American Derby this year at Arlington Park (10f). 13/16 in this years Investec Derby at Epsom, but never really much chance in big step up, and up to 12f. Made all in the trial in April (10f). Step down in trip and class. Has 2 wins and 3 placed in 6 starts.

Friday's Free Horse Racing Tips

Thursday's blog tips saw 3 wins from 4 and I have a few more tips for Friday's evening cards from Bath and Newmarket, and hopefully continue on with the success.


BATH


5:30 - FRAY - 8/15 Paddy Power

Won latest by 3 1/4lengths, and just gets the vote ahead of course-distance winner Sonnetation.
Trainer Roger Charlton has a very good record of late, and overall at the course.


7:10 - SERENA GREA - 4/1 BET365

Made all last time out, and stayed on well to command final furlong. Step up in trip should be ideal. Every chance of further progression.



NEWMARKET


5:20 - AUTUMN'S BLUSH - 11/4 Paddy Power

4/10 last time out at Ascot, in first attempt at the distance. Back down in Class here, and every chance of getting back to winning ways. Trainer has good record of late, and overall at the course.


5:50 - BISHOP WULSTAN (EW) - 9/1 BET365

Has been in good form of late. Steps up in Class here and will have to find more, but every chance of  a place.

Day Dreamer is the obvious danger.