Premier League Preview - The Stats

C Palace v W Brom

Palace have won both of their previous Premier League games against West Brom at Selhurst Park, scoring three goals on both occasions.

Glenn Murray is on-fire at the moment, scoring six goals and assisting three more in his last six Premier League appearances.

West Brom conceded seven goals in Pulis's first nine Premier League games in charge but have conceded 10 in the last three.

Everton v Burnley

Everton have won more points in their last four Premier League games (10) than they had in their previous 12 (7).

Burnley have failed to score in five of their last six league matches, netting once against Man City in the other.

Everton have conceded only two goals in their last five Premier League home games.

The Clarets have only ever won two of their 34 Premier League away games.

Leicester v Swansea

Swansea have taken 10 points from their last four Premier League games in April (W3 D1).

Bafétimbi Gomis has three goals in his last three Premier League appearances.

The home side has won the last seven competitive meetings between Leicester City and Swansea City.

Stoke v Southampton

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in Southampton's last 10 games in the Premier League.

Southampton are undefeated in their last 6 games against Stoke in all competitions.

Stoke are looking to end the run of 4 games without a win in the league (L3 D1), where they've managed just 3 goals, and conceded 6. They haven't lost two home league games in a row, since the beginning of the season.


There will be a separate post for the Chelsea v Manchester United Preview, so keep a look out over the next 24 hours. 

Horse Racing Stats

There's quite a few meetings across the UK today, including Ayr, Bath, Newbury, and Southwell, so here's some stats to get you thinking, and put you in control today.

AYR

- Nicky Richards has a 25% strike-rate this season, from 182 runners, with a level stakes profit of +£34.55 (£1 stakes) - He has SIR VINSKI in the 2:30, and WICKED SPICE in the 4:45 - Back the double on BET365 @ 32/1

- Martin Todhunter-trained PRESENTING JUNIOR has won 3 from 4 jumps races at Ayr - Currently 11/2 - Runs in the 3:05

- James Reveley has a 67% strike-rate when riding for owner Exors of the Late John Hogg - He takes the ride on AYE WELL in the 3:35, and is currently 7/2 with BET365


NEWBURY

- Saeed bin Suroor has a 30% strike-rate this season from 82 runners, with a level stakes profit of +£43.32 (£1 stakes) - He sends out WINTERS MOON in the 2:50 - Currently 9/4 

- James Doyle has an impressive 35% strike rate over the last fortnight, with 9 wins from 26 rides. He's on-board STRONG CHEMISTRY in the 3:25, and is currently best-priced 9/2


Back, STRONG CHEMISTRY, WINTERS MOON, PRESENTING JUNIOR and SIR VINSKI, in a 4-fold @ 461/1 

Horse Racing - Stats for Newmarket

A few Newmarket stats for you, for this afternoons card, which starts at 1:45, and includes the Fillies Group 3 Lanwades Stud Nell Gwyn Stakes

TOP JOCKEY

Most Wins             Richard Hughes 31 wins from 206 (15%)
                           Paul Hanagan    30 wins from 204 (15%)

Best Strike-Rate     Andrew Mullen    2 wins from 10   (20%)
                           De Sousa          20 wins from 120 (17%)

Best LSP (£1 stakes) De Sousa      20 wins from 120 (17%) +84.07
                             Kieren Fallon 16 wins from 126 (13%) +67.09


TOP TRAINER

Most Wins            John Gosden           31 wins from 203 (15%)
                         Mark Johnston        25 wins from 200 (13%)

Best Strike-Rate   Martyn Meade           3 wins from 8     (38%)
                         Michael Appleby        5 wins from 20   (25%)

Best LSP (£1 stakes) Martyn Meade     3 wins from 8     (38%) +63.00
                             Richard Hannon 14 wins from 78   (18%) +51.41


BEST 2 TIPS FROM THE STATS

2:20 - RAVENHOE 6/4 Coral                     Danger; City Of Stars 10/1 SkyBet

4:05 - MURAAQABA 13/2 Sporting Bet      Danger; Marsh Hawk 7/1 SkyBet

Premier League Football - Leicester v Swansea Preview – Draw Written All Over It!?

There are just five Premier League games this Saturday, with the FA Cup games being played, with Chelsea v Manchester United the stand-out game, in the evening kick-off. Hull City have the luxury of a two week break until their next fixture against in-form Crystal Palace, although it will surely be an anxious watch of the teams around them, and how they get on, with Hull slipping slowly towards that relegation zone, and with the toughest of remaining fixtures to come.

So, a look at the game which sees Swansea travel to Leicester, and after quick analysis of the stats and teams, it has draw written all over it for me!

Leicester managed to complete back-to-back league wins for the first time since the beginning of the season last weekend, but have failed to win back-to-back home games in the league all season.

And it’s similar when you look at Swansea’s away record this season, without two straight wins all season, in all competitions.

Swansea however, have won 4 of their last 7 league games, and are unbeaten in 3 (conceding just 3 goals in their last 4 games), while Leicester have won their last 2 league games, and scored 8 goals in their last 3 games.

I’d be shocked if Leicester could pull off a third consecutive league win, and believe the last few games will have taken too much from them, to get all three points here.

The last six meetings between the sides, in all competitions, has seen each team win 3, and lose 3. The winning team in those 6 meetings, was always the home side.

PREDICTION

So, looking through the stats and analysis a bit more thoroughly, I still haven’t come to a clear conclusion to this game. My head says draw – 1-1 (11/2 bet365) and I think that’s what I’ll stick with.

Check back soon for the preview for Chelsea v Manchester United, and also more stats, tips and opinions on premier league football and horse racing. 

Free Horse Racing Tips - Tuesday

We had a couple of winners yesterday from our three picks, including 6/1 shot Lear's Rock in the 4:10 Handicap at Windsor, as the bay gelding made nearly all, before drawing clear 1 furlong out, to take the win for trainer Ralph Beckett. So, onto Tuesday, and we'll look to continue yesterday's success, with picks from the all-weather card at Southwell.

LUCKY 15

2:20 - LAZY SIOUX          15/8 bet365

2:50 - QUEEN OF SKIES    9/4  bet365

3:20 - SPITFIRE               5/2   bet365

5:30 - HAINES                 8/11 bet365

£1 stakes (£15 total) RETURNS £201.12

Horse Racing - Stats For Kelso

KELSO STATS - MONDAY'S RACING 

TOP JOCKEY - Strike-Rate %

Mr C Dawson        3 from 6 - 50%

Diarmuid O'Regan 4 from 11 - 36%

James Cowley       1 from 3 - 33%

Joe Colliver           4 from 14 - 29%

Dale Irving           5 from 17 -29%

Tony Kelly            7 from 45 - 16%


TOP JOCKEY (Most Wins at the Course) - Brian Hughes 29 from 211 (14%)


TOP TRAINER - Strike-Rate %

Katie Scott         4 from 13 - 31%

Mark Walford      3 from 10 - 30%

Donald McCain  40 from 155 - 26%

Keith Reveley     7 from 32 - 22%

Karen McLintock 4 from 18 - 22%

TOP TRAINER (Most Wins at the Course) - Donald McCain 40 from 155 (26%)


IN-FORM JOCKEY (LAST FORTNIGHT) - David Bass 8 wins from 23 (35%) - Rides Brian Ellison-trained PRESENTED in the 4:30 Handicap Chase (12/1 - bet365)


HORSES - COURSE WINS

2:30
ENDEAVOR           5 from 19 (26%)
SOME LAD            1 from 7 (14%)
KAI BROON          2 from 7 (29%)

3:00
HUNTERS BELT     3 from 5 (60%)
MO ROUGE 1 from 2 (50%)

4:00
TOTAL ASSETS     1 from 3 (33%)
IVAN BORU          1 from 1 (100%)
LANDECKER         3 from 5 (60%)

4:30
ISLA PEARL FISHER 3 from 11 (27%)
MISTER MARKER     1 from 6 (17%)
BIG SOUND            1 from 1 (100%)
LORD BRENDY        1 from 3 (33%)

5:30
BEIDH TINE ANSEO 1 from 8 (13%)
BALLYVOQUE          1 from 4 (25%)
BLACKWATER KING 1 from 1 (100%)

I hope you enjoy the blog, please share it around and follow me on Twitter and Google+ and check back soon for more chat, tips, stats from the UK horse racing and football world.

Free Horse Racing Tips - Monday

It's back to normality for the racing world after a great Crabby's Grand National, which saw Leighton Aspell win for the second successive year, this time aboard Many Clouds, who had been written off by many due to recent poor form and gallop.

So, onto Monday's racing, and who to back, on the flat, with our free horse racing tips;

WINDSOR 2:10

SUGAR LUMP       10/3 BET365 LOSE

WINDSOR 4:10

LEAR'S ROCK        6/1 BET365  WIN




REDCAR 4:20

SECOND WAVE    11/8 CORAL WIN

United Outclass City In Derby

What a game it was from Old Trafford, with City looking for their fifth successive derby win, and United looking to continue their fine run of form. 
And it was City who started at great pace and created an early chance for Navas who was stopped by De Gea, before Silva's cross to Aguero, who found the net after 8 minutes.
But, United grew into the game, and leveled from Ashley Young on 14 minutes, before taking the lead from a deep cross from Young, with Fellaini nodding home from close range. 
Vincent Kompany escaped a red card for a bad challenge on Blind, but was replaced at Half Time, injured in making that challenge. 

United continued to press into the second half, and it was Juan Mata who slotted past Joe Hart to make it 3-1 midway into the half, and then Chris Smalling made it 4-1 not long after, as Mangala played everyone onside from a free kick on the left. 
A late consolation goal from Aguero brought up his 100th goal for City, but it was United who were cheering at the full time whistle.

The crowd once again at Old Trafford was incredible, as United finally ended the dominance of City in Derby's over recent years. 

United take on Chelsea at Stamford Bridge next week live on Sky, and what a game that promises to be. Can United show what they're really about.....or are Chelsea too Strong?
Chelsea, of course, got lucky against QPR this afternoon, with a late Fabregas winner, but Champions find away to win when they're not playing well!

Premier League Football Stats

There's seven games in the Barclays Premier League this Saturday, starting at The Liberty Stadium, for the early game, as Swansea host Everton, and ending with Arsenal's travel to the North West to take on Burnley at Turf Moor, in the evening kick-off. 

Here's a couple of stats (Opta) for each game.....

Swansea v Everton

Swansea are looking to win three Premier League games in a row for the first time since the opening three games of the season.

Everton have won 13 and lost none of their 19 league games against Swansea.

Southampton v Hull

Southampton have won seven of their last eight against Hull City (L1), including each of the last five.

Since February 1, Southampton have taken only two points more (11) than Hull City (nine) and have played an additional game.

Saints have scored only five goals in their last nine Premier League matches.

Sunderland v Palace

Glenn Murray has scored Palace’s opening goal in four of their last six games.

Crystal Palace have kept only one clean sheet under Alan Pardew (in 11 PL games).

Spurs v Villa

Tottenham have won their last five Premier League meetings with Aston Villa, netting two or more goals in each game.

Aston Villa have scored just six goals in their last 12 Premier League matches against Tottenham and never more than once in a game.

Harry Kane has scored six goals in his last four Premier League games at White Hart Lane.

West Brom v Leicester

West Brom have won each of their last four competitive encounters with Leicester City.

Tony Pulis has not lost three successive Premier League games since April 2013 when he was at Stoke.

West Ham v Stoke

West Ham have won only one of their last nine Premier League games (D3 L5).

Stoke manager Mark Hughes has lost only one of his last 10 Premier League encounters with Sam Allardyce (W6 D3).

Burnley v Arsenal

Burnley have let in 10 goals in their last four matches against Arsenal in all competitions (average of 2.5 per game).

Olivier Giroud has scored 10 goals in his last 10 matches for Arsenal in all competitions.

Horse Racing Tips - Grand National Meeting Day 2

A great opening day to 2015's Grand National Meeting, which saw Paul Nicholls get a quick double, as 16/1 shot All Yours won the Juvenile Hurdle, to grab his first Grade 1 win, before Silviniaco Conti showed some class jumping, and a game finish to win the Betfred Bowl Chase for the second year running, and his 6th Grade 1 win.
Meanwhile, in the Doom Bar Aintree Hurdle, A P McCoy took advantage of a nasty fall at the last from Arctic Fire and Ruby Walsh, to win by 13 lengths on-board Jezki, who now has seven Grade 1 wins in his career.

And there's another three Grade 1 races on Friday, with the Betfred Mildmay Novices' Chase, Betfred Melling Chase and the Doom Bar Sefton Novices' Hurdle, all live on Channel 4.

AINTREE - FRIDAY DAY 2

2:15 - GLINGER BURN      2/1 Coral  LOSE

2:50 - SAPHIR DU RHEU 13/8 Coral  WIN


LEICESTER DOUBLE - Each Way

1:30 - WILDE INSPIRATION  PLACED 2nd
2:40 - MARGOT ROAD          LOSE

BET365 - 32/1 LOSE

LEICESTER TREBLE - WIN

2:05 - TWISTING HAY 
3:15 - JUSTICE GOOD  
3:50 - OCEANOGRAPHER 

BET365 - 9.1/1 LOSE