Stats for the All-Weather - Southwell - Thursday

SOUTHWELL - ALL-WEATHER

6:05 - Liam Jones has a strike-rate of 46% when riding out for Michael Appleby at Southwell. He takes the ride of LUV U LUCKY, who finished third on debut a fortnight ago.

LUV U LUCKY 11/2 Bet365


6:35 - Graham Gibbons has a 21% strike-rate on the all-weather this season, with a LSP of +£30.48 £1 stakes). Debt Free Claim is 0 from 2 at the distance, but finished 4th on reappearance 12 days ago, and can build on that.

DEBT FREE CLAIM 9/2 Bet365


8:05 - Trainer Conor Dore is showing a 26% strike-rate on the all-weather this season, with 19 winners from 74, and a LSP of +£57.00. An in-form Hayley Turner takes the ride of Megamunch in the last. Turner has 4 wins from 15 in the last fortnight (27% SR).

MEGAMUNCH 7/2 Bet365

Thursday's Racing UK - The Stats

The sun's still shining, there's another day full of UK horse racing......What could be better!? 
I suppose a few beers and winning bets to add to that would top it off nicely, so let's go through a few stats to try and find some winners!!

Yesterday was 'one of those days' for the tips, as 3 of the 6 hit the woodwork, and came in second. The stats post picked up a couple of winners, but hopefully today's stats can improve on that further.


PERTH

3:20 - Nicky Richards has had a good season, with a 26% strike-rate up to now, and a Level Stake Profit (LSP) of +£41.55 (£1 stakes) - 29% strike-rate in hurdles (LSP +£54.66).
Richards has won 3 of 12 hurdles races this season at Perth.
When teamed up with Brian Harding, the pair have a strike rate of 29% in hurdles in season. 

Back ONE FOR HARRY @ 12/1 SkyBet



4:20 - Conor Shoemark rides course-distance winner CREEVYTENANT in the 4:20. The combination have 5 wins from 8 rides. 
Creevytenant is 2 from 2 at the course, and 3 from 3 at the distance.

Back CREEVYTENANT @ 6/4 Bet365



WARWICK

2:40 - Leighton Aspell has been in good form of late, with 6 wins in his last 23 rides (26% strike-rate).
He has 1 win from 1 when teamed up with Charlie Longsdon this season.

Back NO NO MAC @ 11/4 Bet365


4:40 - Miss G Andrews and trainer Paul Cowley have a 50% strike-rate when teamed together.
Andrews has 1 win from 1 at the course.

Back BUSY BARO @ 66/1 Bet365


BEVERLEY

2:30 - Trianer Richard Fahey has a 22% strike rate so far this season, with a LSP of +£61.95. He's also in great form, with a 29% strike-rate over the last fortnight (LSP +£37.28).
When teamed together with Tony Hamilton this year, they have a strike-rate of 30%, which increases to 31% with 3 year olds. 

Back BILLY BOND @ 8/1 SkyBet


3:00 - Sir Michael Stoute has a strike rate of 39% over recent seasons at Beverley, with a LSP of +£8.49 (£1 stakes). 
Jockey Graham Gibbons has done well this year in 3 year old handicaps, with 7 wins from 37 rides (+£17.30).

Back PLEIADES @ 2/1 Coral

Wednesday's Racing - Ffos Las & Taunton - Key Stats

Ffos 6:05

Rebecca Curtis has a LSP of  +£31.40 from £1 stakes this season at Ffos Las. She is also in great form, with a 31% strike-rate over the last fortnight (5 wins from 16), and 4 winners from the last 6 she's sent out.

Back AUDACIOUS PLAN @ 2/1 Paddy Power WIN

Ffos 7:35

Jockey, Mr J P Williams and owner, Mrs E A Llewellyn have a 50% strike-rate when teamed together.

Back FLANAGANS FIELD @ 14/1 Bet365


Tau 5:15

Noel Fehily has ridden 13 winners from 52 rides at Taunton (25% strike-rate). Fehily has a 15% strike rate in handicap hurdles this season, with 17 winners from 117.

Back FLASHY STAR @ 3/1 Bet365

Tau 7:15

Nick Schofield has a 60% strike-rate when riding for Arthur Whiting at Taunton, and is in decent form with 4 wins from 20 runs in the last fortnight. He takes the ride of Itsuptoyou, who has 2 wins from 4 at the course over recent seasons.

Back ITSUPTOYOU @ 4/1 Paddy Power WIN

Wednesday's Best Bets

Tuesday’s tips only managed a couple of winners, with KAYF WILLOW (Advised 7/4 – Backed into 5/4 F) & KILBREE KID (Advised 13/2 – Backed into 5/1) coming in for us. Sublime Talent and Free Of Charge could only managed second, while the Bath tips both finishing fourth.

Hopefully we can get back on-track and find a couple more winners for tomorrow’s UK meetings, where we have flat racing from Catterick and Epsom, and jumps racing from Ffos Las, Perth and Taunton. Again, we’re set for some good weather, as the sun continues to shine mostly, across the UK, and all tracks being watered in preparation.  

Free Horse Racing Tips – Best Selections for Wednesday’s Racing

Perth

Best Bet   2:55 – INDIAN STREAM 7/2 Paddy Power  LOSE (2nd)

Next Best 4:05 – GORSKY ISLAND 9/2 William Hill  LOSE

Epsom

Best Bet   3:55 – MOUNT LOGAN 9/2 Bet365  LOSE

Next Best 2:10 – SECRET MISSILE 6/1 Ladbrokes  LOSE (2nd)

Catterick

Best Bet   2:00 – EL CHE 6/1 Bet365  LOSE

Next Best 2:35 – SPRING BIRD 9/2 Bet365  LOSE (2nd)

Free Horse Racing Tips - Tuesday's Selections

Monday started the week off perfectly for the selections, as we hit 4 winners from 6 picks, including DEFINITE SOLDIER (Advised 11/4 – Backed into 9/4 JF) and RESOLUTE REFORMER (Advised 7/2 – Backed into 9/4 F) from the Hexham picks.

Hopefully the good form can continue into Tuesday, where there’s UK meetings including Brighton, Exeter and Ludlow, with mostly sunny weather across the cards.

Free Horse Racing Tips - Best Selections for Tuesday's Racing

Brighton

BEST BET   5:45 – LU’S BUDDY 5/2 Bet365  LOSE

NEXT BEST 6:15 – TOP SET 4/1 Bet365  LOSE

Exeter

BEST BET   2:30  – FREE OF CHARGE      2/1 Paddy Power LOSE

NEXT BEST 4:35 – KAYF WILLOW           7/4 Bet365  WIN

Ludlow

BEST BET   2:10  – SUBLIME TALENT      2/1 Boylesports  LOSE

NEXT BEST 2:40 – KILBREE KID (EW)    13/2 Paddy Power  WIN

Free Horse Racing Tips

Free Horse Racing Tips - Best Selections for Monday's Racing 

Hexham

BEST BET   2:00 - DEFINITE SOLDIER    11/4 Bet365  WIN

NEXT BEST 3:40 – RESOLUTE REFORMER 7/2 Paddy Power  WIN

Newton Abbot

BEST BET   7:35 – LA BAGUE AU ROI       9/4 Paddy Power  WIN

NEXT BEST 6:35 – VIVANT POEME         10/3 Bet365  LOSE

Windsor

BEST BET   4:55 – GREAT PAGE              5/2 Bet365  WIN

NEXT BEST 5:25 - GO NANI GO             11/4 Coral  LOSE 

Horse Racing UK - Kempton Stats

There’s plenty of racing to enjoy to begin the week in the UK, and plenty of sun to go with it, with temperatures between 16-19 degrees across the meetings on Monday, although there will be cloud around in some parts, but not much chance of rain!

Monday’s cards include jumps racing at Hexham and Kempton, and flat racing from Pontefract, and Windsor in the evening.

For now, I’m focusing on a few stats for the meeting at Kempton, with the best bets from the stats provided, so here goes;

STATS

KEMPTON

Top Jockey – Course Record (last few seasons)

                                                        Wins      S/R         LSP (£1 Stakes)

Most Wins            Richard Johnson     20–101    20%        -12.13

                           Daryl Jacob           17–83      20%        +9.64

Best Strike-Rate   Micheal Nolan          1–3        33%        +1.00

                           Daryl Jacob           17–83      20%        +9.64

Best LSP               Tom Cannon           7–55      13%        +23.35

                           Daryl Jacob           17–83      20%        +9.64

Jockey’s In-Form – Last Fortnight

                                                       Wins        S/R         LSP (£1 Stakes)

Thomas Cheesman                            2 - 5        40%        +15.50

Nico de Boinville                               6 - 23       26%        -1.97

Leighton Aspell                                 4 - 19       21%        +21.80

Top Trainer - Course Record (last few seasons)

                                                       Wins        S/R         LSP (£1 Stakes)

Most Wins                Nicky Henderson 63–204    31%        +73.33

                               Paul Nicholls       32–149    21%        -19.54

Best Strike-Rate       Polly Gundry         1–2        50%        +6.00

                              Nicky Henderson  63–204    31%        +73.33

Best LSP                  Nicky Henderson  63–204    31%        +73.33

                               Polly Gundry         1–2        50%        +6.00

Trainer’s In-Form – Last Fortnight

                                                      Wins        S/R         LSP (£1 Stakes)

Alison Batchelor                               1 - 3        33%        +8.00

Colin Tizzard                                    3 - 13      23%        +22.38

Oliver Sherwood                               2 - 10      20%        +20.50

Nicky Henderson                             10 - 50      20%        -6.10

Best Bets from the Stats

2:20 – NICOLAS CHAUVIN            EVENS    Bet365

2:55 – ROAD TO FREEDOM                6/1    Paddy Power

3:30 – TANIOKEY                              4/6    Bet365

4:30 – ONE LUCKY LADY                 10/3    Boylesports

Chelsea v Manchester United Preview

Not long left now until the big kick-off between Chelsea and Manchester United from Stamford Bridge.

Manchester United announced yesterday, that there were injury concerns for Phil Jones, Daly Blind, Michael Carrick and Marcos Rojo, and that's far from ideal, especially since Carrick's come back into the team, United have looked much more composed in the middle of the park. 

Chelsea have Diego Costa missing with his hamstring problem, but have no other injury problems.

United come into the game off the back of a 4-2 win in the Manchester derby, and have won their last 6 Premier League games.
Van Gaal now look to have confirmed their top 4 placing for this season, and will be looking to dent Chelsea's hopes of landing their hands on the trophy, for just the 4th time. The blues need just 11 points from the remaining 7 games to secure the Premier League Title.
Chelsea haven't lost in 11 Premier League games, since their New Year's Day defeat to bitter rivals Spurs, losing 5-3 at White Hart Lane (W8 D3), but their scoring rate at present isn't great, and have only manage 2 or more goals in a game, twice in their last 7 league games. 

STATS

Chelsea have lost just one of their last 12 Barclays Premier League home games against Manchester United (W7 D4 L1).

Chelsea have scored 100 goals in 47 games this season (2.13 per game) while United have 68 in 38 matches (1.79).

United have scored 3 or more goals in 5 of their last 10 Premier League games, including 3 of the last 4.

Juan Mata has three goals and an assist in his last three Premier League games.

There have been OVER 2.5 goals in United's last 4 league games

PREDICTION

With Costa missing, and United suffering the injuries they have, I think it'll be a very tight game. Had United not lost the likes of Carrick and Blind, I'd have edged United to take the three points. But, with those injuries, I'm going for a draw.

DRAW 1-1

Horse Racing UK - What The Stats Say

A gorgeous day for racing across the country today, and there's plenty of meetings to look forward to, including Ayr featuring the Coral Scottish Grand National at 3:45, and flat racing from Newbury and Nottingham.

So, here's a few of the key stats and best bets for a couple of those cards;


NEWBURY

- When Jim Crowley and trainer Dominic Ffrench Davis have teamed up, they have an impressive 43% strike-rate and a level stakes profit of +£72.50 (£1 stakes) - Davis runs JELLY MONGER in the 2:15 - 50/1 BetVictor




- Dane O'Neill has a 100% strike-rate when riding for trainer John Gosden at Newbury - O'neill rides FANNAAN in the 2:50 - 11/1 BetVictor 



AYR

- Paul Nicholls has a 24% strike-rate this season, and a level stakes profit of +£59.06 - Nicholls also has a 37% strike-rate at the course over recent seasons - He runs SOLAR IMPULSE in the 2:00 - 4/1 across the board




- Jim Goldie-trained TOO COOL TO FOOL has 3 wins from 5 in Jumps races at Ayr, with anoverall 35% strike-rate at the course. He runs in the 4:55 - 16/1 Boylesports




- Jockey Sam Bowen has been in great form over the last couple of weeks, with 10 winners from 25, a 40% strike-rate - He takes the ride of SIR WILL in the 5:30 - 5/1 Boylesport

Horse Racing Stats - Bath

A couple of the stats from this afternoon's horse racing came in positive (check here), so lets have a look at some of the stats for this evening's card at Bath, and see if we can weed out some more winners.

It's going to be quick underfoot at Bath with the ground officially reported as firm, good to firm in places.

Clear, sunny weather is expected with the temperature dial set to hit 14C or 15C.

- Franny Norton has a 67% strike-rate when riding for Jo Hughes at Bath. He's on-board FROSTMAN in the 5:10 - 2/1 with SkyBet

- Martin Dwyer has a 20% strike-rate at Bath, with 18 wins from 90 rides. He rides PIXELEEN in the 5:40 - 16/1 with BET365

- Martin Dwyer has a strike-rate of 43% when riding for trainer Marcus Tregoning, at Bath. FAST GOLD is his ride in the 6:45 - 9/1 Coral

- Declan Bates shows a level stake profit of +£ 43.50 when riding for David Evans this season. He climbs aboard CABUCHON in the 7:15 - 7/1 Boylesports


TOP JOCKEY (Bath)

Most Wins - Dane O'neill 17 wins from 107 (16% strike-rate)

TOP TRAINER (Bath)

Most Wins - Mick Channon 24 wins from 203 (12% strike-rate)

FAVOURITES AT BATH

Non-Handicap - 56 wins from 139 (40% strike-rate)

Handicaps       - 131 wins from 418 (31% strike-rate)