Tuesday's Market Movers

POSITIVES

Brighton

3:25 NIMBLE KIMBLE     6/1 > 10/3

5:05 PERFECT PASTIME 6/1 > 7/2

Wolverhampton (AW)

2:35 FAST DANCER       1/1 > 7/10

4:05 BALTIC BRAVE      7/1 > 9/2

Nottingham

3:45 MR BISSTO           7/1 > 9/2



NEGATIVES

Brighton

2:25 JONNIE SKULL       5/1 > 15/2

5:05 EMILY DAVISON     9/2 > 7/1

Wolverhampton

2:35 RAHMAH           1.37/1 > 2/1

3:35 REPECHAGE         11/2 > 9/1

Nottingham

2:15 LADY PINNACLE    7/2 > 11/2

2:45 CELTIC SIXPENCE 7/2 > 6/1

4:50 STAR FIRE            2/1 > 11/4

Horse Racing Stats – Tuesday’s Cards

After all the sunshine we’ve had over the last week, it’s finally starting to turn across the country, with heavy showers expected at many of the race meetings today.

There are 5 meetings across the UK, and the start of Punchestown over in Ireland, where weather is predicted as cloudy at the moment.

I’m going to focus on stats for the afternoon meeting from Nottingham for this post;

NOTTINGHAM

When teaming up, Liam Jones and trainer Alan Coogan have a 60% strike rate. Coogan sends out RALPH MCTELL (2:15) who is currently 33/1. **NOW 100/1 BP

Jockey Joe Doyle is in good form of late, with a 31% strike rate over the last 2 weeks. He is also boasting a Level Stake Profit of +£83.75 this season (£1 stakes). Doyle takes the ride of ARTFUL PRINCE (2:45), who is a course-winner, and was beaten favourite last time out – Currently 7/1

Trainer David Elsworth has an impressive LSP of +£68.25 (£1 stakes), at Nottingham over the last few seasons, with a 21% strike rate.

Elsworths’ best form comes in handicaps, and especially 4yo+ handicaps, with a 31% strike rate, and 33% strike rate respectively, in 2015.

He sends out 3 runners to Nottingham;

2:45        DERULO                            10/1

              WATER DANCER               16/1 Non-Runner

3:45        DANSILI DASH                 12/1

Jockey, William Twiston-Davies has a strike rate of 75% when riding for owner Planetoid Partnership. The big negative is the fact William Twiston-Davies hasn’t won at this course in the last 5 seasons, from 22 rides. 

Twiston-Davies takes the ride of PLANETOID for trainer Jim Best in the 4:15 handicap, and is currently best priced 15/2.

Hull v Liverpool - A Scrappy Encounter?

Hull City v Liverpool Preview

There’s two midweek Barclays Premier League games this week, with Hull City and Liverpool on Tuesday, and Leicester City v Chelsea on the Wednesday. So, first up, the battle from the KC Stadium, where Liverpool travel to Hull, with both teams scrapping for their desired league position; Hull fighting relegation, and Liverpool trying to secure that Champions League spot, ahead of United, Arsenal and City.

Hull’s chances of staying up were boosted of course over the weekend, with their first league win in seven, courtesy of N’Doye’s brace. Hull City edged the majority of possession in the game, and had 21 shots at goal (7 on target) in total, compared to Palaces 7 (3 on target).

Hull City have won just one of the seven Barclays Premier League matches against Liverpool (W1 D3 L3), and have failed to score in 3 of their last 4 against the reds.

Hull haven’t kept consecutive clean sheets in the Premier League since 2013, and haven’t won back-to-back league games since February, when beating Villa, then QPR, both at the KC.

Despite a total of 74% possession away to West Brom, once again like a few times this season, Liverpool failed to take their chances, and managed just 5 shots on target from 22 shots at goal. 

Liverpool’s spending and transfers not good enough once again, especially up-front, when needing to replace Suarez;

Lambert – Decent player, very good in the air. The fact it was his dream club, and he was stacking shelves a few years ago, it was a ‘fairy tale’ transfer more than anything, which hasn’t paid off.

Ballotelli – What words can you use to describe this man…..There’s no doubt he has technical ability. If the signing pulls off; he settles and is banging in the goals, then it’s an absolute bargain for £16 million, but is the biggest risk in World football.

Borini – If memory serves me correctly, this player wanted to re-join Sunderland (on loan, or make a permanent move), but Rogers and Liverpool told him he couldn’t go, and should fight for his first team place. And he’s hardly stepped foot on a football pitch all season!
**Turns out I was mistaken about Borini, and it was him who wouldn't go, and wanted to fight for his place. I wonder if money influenced the decision......

And this is all after the £30+ million signing of Andy Carroll, what a fiasco that was!

And it was confirmed today that Sturridge may not feature again this season, as he struggles to shake off a hip problem. Sturridge has made just 12 starts in 2014/15, and is now out with his 15^th injury since joining Liverpool in January 2013.

Liverpool travel to Hull with just 8 wins from their 16 league games, away from home, so far this season, and with Hull’s confidence high after their weekend result, it will surely be a tough night for the reds. I can picture a scrappy encounter, with plenty of missed chances, and probably points shared, with both teams scoring. 

Free Horse Racing Tips - Monday

A new week, and another great day for racing as the sun continues to shine around the country.......it'll never last! Enjoy it now!

The greatest jockey, if not sportsman, of all time, A P McCoy had his final rides before retirement, in front of a full house at Sandown on Saturday, but unfortunately couldn't end his magnificent career with a win, as he finished 3rd on both Mr Mole, and Box Office. And I think we can all agree people definitely got carried away with the A P factor, as Box Office was never a 5/2 favourite.
The commitment and dedication, just to get that chance to ride another winner, even if it cost him more in travel expenses, was just phenomenal, not to mention the time away from the family and training involced. He may well be retiring as a jockey, but this man will be around the sport of horse racing for the rest of his life, and will be remembered by all, as the greatest of all time.


But, as with everything in life, we must go on, and there's plenty to be getting on with, and below is the free horse racing tips for Monday's evening meetings;


WINDSOR LUCKY 15 (1)

5:30 - SHANGHAI GLORY 11/4

6:00 - GOSSIPING 7/4

6:30 - WONDER LAISH 4/6

7:30 - LIGHT OF ASIA 2/1

£1 STAKES (£15 TOTAL) RETURNS £189


EACH-WAY DOUBLE

WIN 7:00 UNISON (6/1)

WOL 6:50 LADY ATLAS (7/2)

£5 EACH-WAY RETURNS £176.20


Good luck with your bets today, and check back later, for stats and additional tips for this evenings racing.

Where's the Internet Gone!?

As you'll have noticed, there's not been any posts the last couple of days, as my internet decided it was having a few days off to enjoy the sun......and enjoy the racing which saw A P McCoy ride out for the last time on Saturday. Great time to cut off!

Well, the internet is back, and so will the tips be, once I've sorted tonight's meetings out. Check back soon, thanks for your patience.

Free Horse Racing Tips - Lucky 15

Friday's finally here, and we have another packed day of racing to look forward to in the UK, including the Sandown meeting featuring two Group 3 races, and the Group 2 Bet365 Mile, which is Live on Channel 4.

Today's free horse racing tips come in the form of the Lucky 15, and here they are;


LUCKY 15 (1)

Don 1:50 AABIR 9/4 LOSE

Per 3:10 FIVE O'CLOCK TEA 9/2  WIN

Per 3:45 UNTIL WINNING 11/8 LOSE (FELL LAST)

Per 4:50 SON OF SUZIE 9/4

CORAL - £1 Stakes (£15 total) Returns £395.25



LUCKY 15 (2)

Per 2:40 MOUNTAIN KING 7/4  WIN

Don 2:50 WANTING 5/2  LOSE

Don 4:00 SIGNORE PICCOLO 5/2  LOSE

Per 4:20 FULL JACK 9/2  LOSE (2nd)

CORAL - £1 Stakes (£15 total) returns £492.59


Follow my blog for more tips, stats, free bets and more. Also check my Twitter @uksportsandbets or @JamesHarvey87

Have a great day......enjoy the racing! 

Stats for the All-Weather - Southwell - Thursday

SOUTHWELL - ALL-WEATHER

6:05 - Liam Jones has a strike-rate of 46% when riding out for Michael Appleby at Southwell. He takes the ride of LUV U LUCKY, who finished third on debut a fortnight ago.

LUV U LUCKY 11/2 Bet365


6:35 - Graham Gibbons has a 21% strike-rate on the all-weather this season, with a LSP of +£30.48 £1 stakes). Debt Free Claim is 0 from 2 at the distance, but finished 4th on reappearance 12 days ago, and can build on that.

DEBT FREE CLAIM 9/2 Bet365


8:05 - Trainer Conor Dore is showing a 26% strike-rate on the all-weather this season, with 19 winners from 74, and a LSP of +£57.00. An in-form Hayley Turner takes the ride of Megamunch in the last. Turner has 4 wins from 15 in the last fortnight (27% SR).

MEGAMUNCH 7/2 Bet365

Thursday's Racing UK - The Stats

The sun's still shining, there's another day full of UK horse racing......What could be better!? 
I suppose a few beers and winning bets to add to that would top it off nicely, so let's go through a few stats to try and find some winners!!

Yesterday was 'one of those days' for the tips, as 3 of the 6 hit the woodwork, and came in second. The stats post picked up a couple of winners, but hopefully today's stats can improve on that further.


PERTH

3:20 - Nicky Richards has had a good season, with a 26% strike-rate up to now, and a Level Stake Profit (LSP) of +£41.55 (£1 stakes) - 29% strike-rate in hurdles (LSP +£54.66).
Richards has won 3 of 12 hurdles races this season at Perth.
When teamed up with Brian Harding, the pair have a strike rate of 29% in hurdles in season. 

Back ONE FOR HARRY @ 12/1 SkyBet



4:20 - Conor Shoemark rides course-distance winner CREEVYTENANT in the 4:20. The combination have 5 wins from 8 rides. 
Creevytenant is 2 from 2 at the course, and 3 from 3 at the distance.

Back CREEVYTENANT @ 6/4 Bet365



WARWICK

2:40 - Leighton Aspell has been in good form of late, with 6 wins in his last 23 rides (26% strike-rate).
He has 1 win from 1 when teamed up with Charlie Longsdon this season.

Back NO NO MAC @ 11/4 Bet365


4:40 - Miss G Andrews and trainer Paul Cowley have a 50% strike-rate when teamed together.
Andrews has 1 win from 1 at the course.

Back BUSY BARO @ 66/1 Bet365


BEVERLEY

2:30 - Trianer Richard Fahey has a 22% strike rate so far this season, with a LSP of +£61.95. He's also in great form, with a 29% strike-rate over the last fortnight (LSP +£37.28).
When teamed together with Tony Hamilton this year, they have a strike-rate of 30%, which increases to 31% with 3 year olds. 

Back BILLY BOND @ 8/1 SkyBet


3:00 - Sir Michael Stoute has a strike rate of 39% over recent seasons at Beverley, with a LSP of +£8.49 (£1 stakes). 
Jockey Graham Gibbons has done well this year in 3 year old handicaps, with 7 wins from 37 rides (+£17.30).

Back PLEIADES @ 2/1 Coral

Wednesday's Racing - Ffos Las & Taunton - Key Stats

Ffos 6:05

Rebecca Curtis has a LSP of  +£31.40 from £1 stakes this season at Ffos Las. She is also in great form, with a 31% strike-rate over the last fortnight (5 wins from 16), and 4 winners from the last 6 she's sent out.

Back AUDACIOUS PLAN @ 2/1 Paddy Power WIN

Ffos 7:35

Jockey, Mr J P Williams and owner, Mrs E A Llewellyn have a 50% strike-rate when teamed together.

Back FLANAGANS FIELD @ 14/1 Bet365


Tau 5:15

Noel Fehily has ridden 13 winners from 52 rides at Taunton (25% strike-rate). Fehily has a 15% strike rate in handicap hurdles this season, with 17 winners from 117.

Back FLASHY STAR @ 3/1 Bet365

Tau 7:15

Nick Schofield has a 60% strike-rate when riding for Arthur Whiting at Taunton, and is in decent form with 4 wins from 20 runs in the last fortnight. He takes the ride of Itsuptoyou, who has 2 wins from 4 at the course over recent seasons.

Back ITSUPTOYOU @ 4/1 Paddy Power WIN

Wednesday's Best Bets

Tuesday’s tips only managed a couple of winners, with KAYF WILLOW (Advised 7/4 – Backed into 5/4 F) & KILBREE KID (Advised 13/2 – Backed into 5/1) coming in for us. Sublime Talent and Free Of Charge could only managed second, while the Bath tips both finishing fourth.

Hopefully we can get back on-track and find a couple more winners for tomorrow’s UK meetings, where we have flat racing from Catterick and Epsom, and jumps racing from Ffos Las, Perth and Taunton. Again, we’re set for some good weather, as the sun continues to shine mostly, across the UK, and all tracks being watered in preparation.  

Free Horse Racing Tips – Best Selections for Wednesday’s Racing

Perth

Best Bet   2:55 – INDIAN STREAM 7/2 Paddy Power  LOSE (2nd)

Next Best 4:05 – GORSKY ISLAND 9/2 William Hill  LOSE

Epsom

Best Bet   3:55 – MOUNT LOGAN 9/2 Bet365  LOSE

Next Best 2:10 – SECRET MISSILE 6/1 Ladbrokes  LOSE (2nd)

Catterick

Best Bet   2:00 – EL CHE 6/1 Bet365  LOSE

Next Best 2:35 – SPRING BIRD 9/2 Bet365  LOSE (2nd)