My Monday Selections

I have a few selections for Monday's racing at Ayr, providing it passes a 7:30am inspection, with Going described as Heavy, and further rainfall forecast.

Ayr 12:45 - Layla Joan                     8/13

Ayr 13:45 - Samson Collonges EW    6/1 (from 7/1) 

Danger; Fog Patches 4/1 (from 7/1)

Ayr 14:50 - City of Doral EW             8/1

Ayr 15:20 - And The Man                  3/1

Essential Stats For Wolverhampton (AW)

Some essential stats for Monday's all-weather meeting at Wolverhampton, to get you ahead of the game.....

Top Jockey's - Win Strike-Rate Record on the Flat at Wolverhampton




Adam Kirby   - 117-628 (19%)

Joe Fanning  - 112-684 (16%)
R. Kingscote -   72-453 (16%)
J. Spencer    -   66-339 (19%)
Mr S Walker  -    8-29   (28%)



Top Trainers - Win Strike-Rate Record on the Flat at Wolverhampton

Mark Johnston -    85-467 (18%)
Marco Botti      -    70-326 (21%)
T. Dascombe   -    58-313 (19%)
K. Dalgleish     -    36-210 (17%)
Sir M Prescott Bt - 28-144 (19%)
James Tate      -    26-116 (22%)
Johnny Farrelly-      2-5     (40%)


On-Fire In The Last Fortnight

Jockey's;

Joe Doyle           -    4-17 (24%)
Shane Kelly        -    9-32 (28%)
Stephen Craine   -    3-11 (27%)
Joe Fanning        -  10-45 (22%)
Richard Kingscote -  5-23 (22%)
Sean Levey         -    5-25 (20%)
Jaime Spencer    -    8-28 (29%)
George Chaloner -    3-14 (21%)

Trainers;

Shaun Harris      -    5-9   (56%)
David Simcock   -    8-19 (42%)
Mark Johnston   -    9-20 (45%)
Tom Dascombe -    3-12 (25%)
Richard Fahey   -    6-25 (24%)
D. M. Loughnane -  4-8   (50%)
Keith Dalgleish  -    3-10 (30%)
Phil McEntee     -     4-10 (40%)

Ayr Hopeful Monday's Racing Will Go Ahead

With Plumpton already fallen victim to the weather, all hope falls on Ayr's 7:30am inspection to get some UK jumps racing on Monday.
Going at the course is already described as 'Heavy', with further rainfall expected. Clerk of the course, Emma Marley, said on Sunday, 'The forecast looks reasonable tomorrow so once the morning goes we should be okay. We're raceable at present, with no standing water. We're on relatively fresh ground and the track has coped well to this stage.'


There is also an inspection at noon on Monday for Ludlow's meeting on Wednesday, with waterlogging in places and further rain expected. 

Another Grade 1 Victory For Hurricane Fly

Hurricane Fly won his eigth consecutive race at Leopardstown and his fourth consecutive BHP Insurance Irish Champion Hurdle as he beat off the challenge from Our Conor. Hurricane fly matched Istabraq's record of 4 straight wins of the race. 
Mullins said, 'That was a huge relief. I was so disappointed coming off the gallops this week. I was saying to myself, 'Is the dream over with him, and has he had enough?''


In other news from today's racing, Trifolium gave a brilliant display to take the Frank Ward Solicitors Arkle Novice Chase at Leopardstown. Favourite Defy Logic was found to have broken a blood vessel in the race, and finished fifth. William Hill subsequently slashed the price of Trifolium in the Racing Post Arkle at Cheltenham Festival to 8/1 (from 25/1).


Check back soon for more news, tips, and stats

Sunday's Tips

Hurricane Fly

UK racing sees action from Leopardstown, Sedgefield and the all-weather at Wolverhampton today, with racing at Fontwell abandoned. A great days racing in Ireland as Leopardstown hosts two Grade 1 races; the Frank Ward Solicitors Arkle Novice Chase, featuring the likes of Defy Logic (who I do like, and would tip in this race), Mozoltov and Felix Yonger, and also the BHP Insurance Irish Champion Hurdle which features the battle between Hurricane Fly (4/7), Jezki (100/30) and Our Conor (4/1), with Captain Cee Bee the 100/1 outsider. 

A few significant early positive movers in the market (PaddyPower) at this stage include;

Leopardstown 14:00 - Treat Yourself     15/8 from 2/1
Leopardstown 15:10 - Moonshine Lad     5/1 from 6/1
Leopardstown 15:40 - Wrong Turn        10/3 from 5/1

Sedgefield       14:10 - Comeback Colin   4/1 from 5/1
Sedgefield       14:45 - Tranquil Sea        9/4 from 5/2
                              - Shadows Lengthen 6/1 from 8/1
Sedgefield       15:50 - Prince Blackthorn 5/2 from 3/1

W'hampton     14:20 - Colourbearer    15/2 from 10/1
W'hampton     15:30 - Rocky Rebel       7/2 from 13/2
W'hampton     16:00 - Lilac Tree         11/4 from 7/2


My Selections;

Sedgefield 13:10 - Oscar Tanner

Sedgefield 13:40 - Swaton Typhoon

Sedgefield 14:10 - Mixologist 2/1 - (with Forty Crown possible EW 13/2 from 8/1)

Join me again soon for more tips, news, stats and more, good luck with today's selections. Watch all today's UK racing on At The Races.

Shock As 66/1 Shot Knockara Beau Wins Cleeve Hurdle

There was no dream comeback for Big Bucks, returning after 420 days off due to injury, as Knockara Beau (66/1) won the galliardhomes.com Cleeve Hurdle, beating At Fishers Cross by a shoulder, with Big Bucks finishing in third.

After the race, trainer Paul Nicholls said he was happy with Big Bucks, and once again, said he would come on from this race. 

Latest UK Racing News on Hurricane Fly and Big Bucks

HURRICANE FLY LATE SCARE

Willie Mullins has admitted that Hurricane Fly had trained poorly this week and the cause was said to be a bruised foot, as he bids to win yet another Grade 1 race at Leopardstown this Sunday.
Mullins said, 'He seems fine since, so we'll see how he goes. We could have taken the easy option, and not run, but this is the Irish Champion Hurdle. Sometimes athletes carry bits of injuries going into games, and we're happy to let him take his chance.'

Hurricane Fly is currently odds-on favourite at 4/7


BIG BUCKS WELL PREPARED

Big Bucks makes his long-awaited return in the galliardhomes.com Cleeve Hurdle at Cheltenham, and Paul Nicholls believes he has taken every precaution with his preparation on the 11 year old, who has been off for 420 days. 
Nicholls said, 'Rose Loxton, who rides him out everyday, tells me he feels no different than before. And I'll be honest, I hope and think he'll win the Cleeve Hurdle. But don't get me wrong, he will improve for the run, win, lose or draw.'


Big Bucks is currently EVEN money favourite

Early Positive Movers For Friday's Racing

A fair few race meetings tomorrow (Friday) in the UK, including Huntingdon and Doncaster amongst others. A few early movers for you to look at......

HUNTINGDON;

12:50 - Ghost Of A Smile   15/2 from 10/1
13:50 - Generous Ransom   3/1 from 4/1
14:55 - Caroles Destrier      5/2 from 7/2
16:00 - Theatrebar              9/2 from 13/2


DONCASTER;

13:10 - Easydoesit          15/2 from 10/1
13:40 - Pearl Castle        15/2 from 10/1
            I Got Power        16/1 from 25/1
14:10 - Victor Hewgo      13/8 from 2/1


That's it for now, please do check back soon for stats, tips, news and much more. Good Luck 

A Few Stats for Thursday's Racing at Warwick

Just a quick post with a few statistics for Thursday's racing at Warwick, to hopefully help you pick a few winners out. 

Top Jockey's; 

A P McCoy                         14 from 69 (20% strike-rate)

Richard Johnson              13 from 61 (21% strike-rate)

Paddy Brennan                12 from 64 (19% strike-rate) (£1 stake profit of +65)  

Jason Maguire                    7 from 36 (19% strike-rate)

Top Trainers; 

David Pipe                         13 from 52 (25% strike-rate)

N Twiston-Davies             17 from 115 (15%strike-rate) (£1 stake profit of +20)

Brendan Powell                  5 from 19 (26% strike-rate)

Sheena West                       3 from 10 (30% strike-rate)

Charlie Mann                       6 from 28 (21% strike-rate)

Donald McCain                    3 from 14 (21% strike-rate)

31% - The number of HANDICAPS won by FAVOURITES at Warwick

38% - The number of NON-HANDICAPS won by FAVOURITES at Warwick

ON FIRE IN THE LAST FORTNIGHT.......

Jockey's; 

Aidan Coleman                    6 from 29 (21% strike-rate)

Tom Scudamore                  4 from 20 (20% strike-rate)

S Twiston-Davies                5 from 26 (19% strike-rate)

A P McCoy                          12 from 39 (31% strike-rate)

Paddy Brennan                   5 from 15 (33% strike-rate)

Richard Johnson                 8 from 25 (32% strike-rate)

Leighton Aspell                    6 from 17 (35% strike-rate)

Trainers;

John Ferguson                    2 from 4 (50% strike-rate)

David Pipe                           5 from 29 (17% strike-rate)

N Twiston-Davies               4 from 26 (15% strike-rate)

Tom George                        4 from 20 (20% strike-rate)

Robert Walford                   2 from 7   (29% strike-rate)

Donald McCain                     9 from 36 (25% strike-rate)

Venetia Williams                  7 from 47 (15% strike-rate)

Philip Hobbs                       10 from 27 (37% strike-rate)

And that's all from this post, with a few vital stats for today's racing at Warwick. Good luck with all your bets, and do check back soon for more stats, tips and news.

Thursday's Racing

Thursday we have UK racing from Fakenham, Gowran Park, Warwick, and all-weather from Southwell and in the evening, Kempton.  

So first, an early look at the goings;

Fakenham – Going; Soft (Going Stick; 5.3) Fresh ground all the way around on hurdle course

Gowran Park - Going; Soft - Heavy

Warwick - Going; Chase Course - Soft (Heavy in places) 6.0 and Hurdle Course - Heavy (Soft in places) 5.4

Southwell - Going; Standard

Kempton - Going; Standard

And now a quick look into the Positives and Negatives in the market, at this early stage (prices from PaddyPower.com)……

Positives;

Fakenham 13:30         Kodicil                      13/8 from 2/1

Fakenham 14:30         Galway Jack             13/2 from 8/1

Warwick 14:20           Saints and Sinners     4/1 from 11/2

Warwick 14:50           Dreams of Milan         5/1 from 6/1

Southwell 14:10         Bapak Bangsawan      2/1 from 5/2

Southwell 14:40         Aqua Ardens             15/8 from 9/4

Negatives;

My Tips

And now we’ll have a look at a couple of my selections for today's racing (Thursday).

Fakenham 14:00    County Zen (Each-Way)   10/1 

Fakenham 14:30    That's The Deal (Each-Way)   10/1

Fakenham 14:30    Presented   2/1

Southwell (AW) 13:40   Precariously Good   

Southwell (AW) 14:40   Aqua Ardens        15/8

For now that’s it, good luck with your selections today. Check back soon for results and analysis, news and more tips.