Premier League Football | Survival Sunday Relegation Battle

It's a sad day as Sunday sees the end to the Premier League Football season for 2014/15........But there is still a cup final next week! Oh, and then there's the summer transfer sagas which will get us through a couple of months.....It'll fly by! Back before you know it!


But, the question still remains, as we head into the final Premier league games of the season, who will be joining QPR and Burnley for the drop to the Championship; Hull City or Newcastle United? 

Both teams have difficult games, but no more so than Steve Bruce's side, who face Manchester United at the KC Stadium. Hull have just 2 wins in their last 11, and have only scored 8 goals in that time, and failed to score in 5 of the 11 games, including the last 2.

It doesn't get any better for Hull when you consider they've lost all the previous seven Premier League games against Manchester United, conceding an average of 3 goals a game (21 in total).

Louis Van Gaal announced on Sky Sports the other day that Rooney would be fit for the last game of the season, and would play as he is captain. And Rooney has enjoyed playing against Hull with 7 goals and 3 assists in the last 5 league games against them.

Although everything is stacked against a Hull City win, they're fighting for their lives, in a game known for its unpredictability, and you really do never know. I've said it previously, that I really can't see a Hull City win against United though, but I can see an even game, and them getting a point, which of course, wouldn't be enough to save them from relegation.

PREDICTION - DRAW (11/4) (Result 0-0 - WIN)


Newcastle are the only other team who could go down, and they've got a tough game at home to West Ham. I say 'a' tough game, but any game for Newcastle is tough at the moment!

The Magpies haven't won since beating Villa back in February, with 9 losses and a draw since, with a disappointing loss most recently, when leading against already-relegated QPR, only to go on and lose 2-1.


The Hammers haven't been in the best of form themselves in recent weeks, with just 2 Premier League wins in their last 15, after such a great first half to the season, which saw them win 7 in 11 league games from October through to the end of December, but have only won 3 games since (in 18 league games (2015)).

PREDICTION - DRAW (3/1)


DRAW DOUBLE - 14/1

Horse Racing UK Tips | Friday's Bath & Goodwood Cards | Stats & Best Bets

A fairly disappointing day overall yesterday for the stats and best bets, with the only winner, and profit coming from a dead heat as Sugar Boy (advised 7/1) battled it out with 3/1 favourite, Critical Risk to finish dead level. There were placed efforts from Our Joy (6/1) and Bashiba (8/1), but it’s the winners we’re looking for. 

Once again, we move on and hope for better luck to come, and the UK racing to end the week comes from Bath, Goodwood, Haydock, Musselburgh, Pontefract and Worcester, so there’ plenty to have a look into. Below, we've compiled the stats and best bets for the afternoon flat meetings at Bath and Goodwood, best of luck!

BATH

2:10

Jockey Aaron Jones has had 2 wins from his last 6 rides (LSP +£8.50 - £1 stakes). He teams up with trainer, Paul Cole, and the pair have a 67% strike rate when teamed together.

PENDO – 14/1 Bet365

2:40

Trainer David Elsworth is having a good season, with a 20% strike rate, and a £1 level stake profit of £47.62. The trainer is in fine form of late too, with 4 winners from his last 11 runners (36% SR) LSP +£16.38, and has enjoyed success at the course over recent years, with 3 wins from just 7 runners over the last 5 seasons (43% SR).

IVORS INVOLVEMENT – 4/1 William Hill PLACED 2/5 (SP 6/1)

3:50

Jockey Michael J M Murphy has a very good record at Bath, with 9 wins from 35 rides (26% SR). He teams up with Mark Johnston, who also has a very good record at this course. Johnston has a 28% strike rate over recent seasons here, with 17 wins from 60 runners, and a £1 level stakes profit of £34.08.

MISTER ROCKANDROLL – 7/1 Ladbrokes

5:00

Trainer Malcolm Saunders has been in great from this season in 4+ year old handicaps, with 5 wins from 14 runners (36% SR) and a huge £1 level stakes profit of £57.50.

When teamed up with jockey Martin Dwyer in 4+ year old handicaps this year, they have 3 wins from 10 (30% SR) – LSP +£24.00.

CAMELEY DAWN – 8/1 Bet365

5:35

When teaming up jockey Edward Greatrex and trainer Joseph Tuite have a 67% strike rate. The pair are in good form of late, with Greatrex winning 3 of his last 9 rides (placed in 2), and Tuite sending out 2 winners from his last 7.

LADY SYLVIA – 6/1 William Hill

GOODWOOD

2:20

Trainer Jonathan Portman is having a very good season in-terms of level stakes profit, returning +£82.00 from £1 stakes, although he has been a little out of form over the last fortnight.

Portman also has a good record at Goodwood though, with a 21% strike rate over recent seasons (10 wins from 48 sent out here) and £1 level stakes profit of £50.75. He saddles newcomer Intimately, who is by Intense Focus, a GR1 winning 2 year old (by Giants Causeway).

INTIMATELY – 25/1 Bet365

2:50

This season, Pat Cosgrave is showing a massive £1 level stakes profit of £70.78, and in the last 2 weeks, he’s ran out 11 winners from 39 rides (28% SR) with a £1 level stakes profit of £51.20.

Cosgrave teams up with trainer George Baker, who’s also been in good form of late, with a 25% strike rate over the last 2 weeks (5 wins from 20). When teamed together this year, the pair have a 25% strike rate, with 9 wins from 36.

MUIR LODGE – 10/1 Boylesports

4:00

Trainer Saeed bin Suroor has been in very good form this season, with a 27% strike rate, and returning a £1 level stakes profit of £51.10.

When teamed together with jockey James Doyle this year, the pair boast a 32% strike rate with 3 year olds (10 wins from 31).

Doyle takes the ride of Best Of Times, who’s 1 from 1 at this course, and seeking the four-timer.

BEST OF TIMES – 9/4 Boylesports PLACED 2/6

5:10

This season, Pat Cosgrave is showing a massive £1 level stakes profit of £70.78, and in the last 2 weeks, he’s ran out 11 winners from 39 rides (28% SR) with a £1 level stakes profit of £51.20.

Cosgrave teams up with trainer George Baker, who’s also been in good form of late, with a 25% strike rate over the last 2 weeks (5 wins from 20). When teamed together this year, the pair have a 25% strike rate, with 9 wins from 36.

Cosgrave takes the ride of Humidor who won here last time out (20 days ago), over 5f (stayed on).

HUMIDOR – 9/1 Coral

Horse Racing Tips UK | Thursday's Evening Cards | Stats & Best Bets

A couple of UK meetings this evening, with action at Nottingham and Sandown to round off Thursday.

Nottingham - GOING: GOOD (Good to soft in places; GoingStick 8.0) (Outer track. Rail set 6yds from innermost line on home bend, and 4yds on stands' bend increasing circuit length by 30yds). (Partly cloudy)

Sandown - GOING: GOOD (Good to firm in places; GoingStick: Sprint 7.9, Round 7.8) (Round Course at outermost configuration (as per April Meeting) adding 10yds to all round distances). (Mostly sunny)

STATS & BEST BETS

SANDOWN

5:55

When teamed up together, jockey Oisin Murphy and trainer Clive Cox have a 100% strike-rate.

Murphy has been in very good form over the last fortnight, with a 23% strike-rate from 35 rides.

OUR JOY – 4/1 Betfair PLACED 2/8 (SP 6/1)

6:25

Jockey William Buick has been in fine form of late, with a 27% strike rate from his last 45 rides, and an LSP of +£23.26 (from £1 stakes).

When teamed together with trainer John Gosden this year, the pair boast a 36% strike rate, with 5 wins from 14 – 4 of the 5 wins on 3 year olds.

Gosden already has 6 wins this year, in 3 year old handicaps (32% strike-rate).

SUGAR BOY – 7/1 Boylesports DEAD-HEAT Joint 1st

7:35

When teamed together at Sandown, jockey James Doyle, and trainer John Gosden have a 100% strike-rate. Doyle has been in fine form of late with 12 wins from 49 rides in the last 2 weeks (24% SR).

As already mentioned, Gosden has 6 wins this year, in 3 year old handicaps (32% strike-rate).

COUNTERPROOF – 20/1 Coral

NOTTINGHAM

6:40

Jockey Hayley Turner has a decent record at this course over recent seasons, with a 19% strike-rate and LSP of +£36.75.

Turner takes the ride of Bashiba, who has 4 wins from 8 on the predicted ‘going’ (50% SR), and 4 wins from 11 at the distance (36% SR). Bashiba finished 3^rd on reappearance 33 days ago after 7 months off.

BASHIBA – 8/1 Betfair PLACED 3/11

7:15

3lb claimer Shane Gray is in good form at the moment, with 6 wins from last 27 rides (22% SR). He takes the ride of course-distance winner Heartsong, who enjoys this course, with 2 wins from 3 at Nottingham (5f and 6f), and placed 2^nd in the other.

HEARTSONG – 12/1 Coral

Free Horse Racing Tips | Thursday's Goodwood Meeting | Stats & Best Bets

It wasn’t a great day for the stats and best bets yesterday, with just 1 win from the 4 selections, as I’m Harry won at Lingfield (advised 5/2, backed into 7/4F). But it still means a massive profit of over £600 in the last 2 weeks (from £10 stakes), so not all bad.

And, there’s plenty more UK racing on Thursday to get stuck into, with meetings at Ayr, Goodwood, Nottingham, Sandown, and Wetherby. So, here’s Thursday’s stats and best bets for the afternoon card from Goodwood, and also keep a look out for more stats and tips for the evening cards;

GOODWOOD

2:10

Jockey Adam Kirby has been in great form of late, with a 21% strike rate from his last 48 rides (LSP of +£30.73 - £1 stakes). He takes the ride of debutante Booby Wheeler in the opener at Goodwood, who is a bay colt by Pivotal, and out of a maiden winner and Group 1 winner at 2 years old (over 6f) – Regal Rose (race record of 2 from 2).

Trainer Clive Cox also has a 21% strike rate over the last fortnight, and already has 1 win from 3 this year, in 2 year old maidens.

BOBBY WHEELER – 7/1 Bet365

5:00

Trainer Amanda Perrett is having a good season so far, with a 22% strike rate from 49 runners, and a Level Stake Profit of +£27.75, from £1 stakes.

Perrett also has 3 wins from 11 3 year old maidens already this year (27% SR). She saddles newcomer Rest Easy, who is out of a winner over 10f at 3 year old (Early Evening), who also won a Class 3 over 9.5f – Race Record of 7 runs, 2 wins, 2 placed.

REST EASY – 25/1 Bet365

Free Horse Racing Tips | Wednesday's Stats & Best Bets

It was another profitable day yesterday for the stats and best bets, as Another Boy (3/1 > 6/4F) and Double Czech (6/1 > 4/1) made it 2 wins from 3 at Chestow, and took the total profit up to £617.08, from £10 stakes, in the last 13 days.

So, why stop now, let’s hope for the same again, as we move onto Wednesday, with meetings across the UK at Ayr (F), Kempton (AW), Lingfield (F), Southwell (J), and Warwick (J). The stats and best bets are focused on the afternoon flat meetings from Ayr and Lingfield.

AYR

2:20

Trainer Richard Fahey and jockey Tony Hamilton combine in the opener, and the pair have done well together season, with an overall level stake profit of +£43.86 (£1 stakes).

When teamed together with 2 year olds, they boast a 35% strike-rate, with 7 wins from 20 starts.

Fahey has been in fine form with his 2 year olds this year, with an overall 28% strike-rate (12 wins from 43 runners), with 49% (21) finishing in the top 2. The statistics further improve with 2 year old maidens, with 11 wins from 35 runners (31% strike rate).

Fahey saddles Birkdale for his first run; a bay colt out of a winner over 6f at 2 year old (Duquesa).

BIRKDALE – 4/1 Betfair

2:50

Trainer Richard Guest is in good form of late, with a 29% strike rate from 29 runners. He’s also having a profitable season, with a LSP of +£32.50 (£1 stakes).

Guest combines with 5lb claimer, Jordan Nason, who has an impressive record at Ayr, with 7 wins from 20 rides (35% strike-rate), and a LSP of +£47.75 (£1 stakes). Nason takes the ride on Lord Buffhead, who has 2 wins from 5 at Ayr (over 5f and 6f), and is back down below his last winning mark.

LORD BUFFHEAD – 12/1 Sky Bet

3:50

Jockey Ben Curtis has been in great form of late with 6 wins from 25 rides (24% strike-rate), and a level stake profit of +£20.13 (£1 stakes). Overall so far this season, Curtis has shown a level stake profit of +£30.95 (£1 stakes).

Curtis takes the ride of Alan Swinbank-trained Dancin Alpha, who was a beaten favourite last time out.

Swinbank has had 10 wins from 44 runners in 4 year old+ handicaps this year (23% SR)

DANCIN ALPHA – 8/1 Bet365

LINGFIELD

3:00

Jockey Pat Cosgrove has been in great form of late, showing a huge LSP of +£47.00 (£1 stakes) in the last fortnight, with 7 wins from 30 rides (23% SR).

Cosgrove teams up once again with trainer George Baker, and the pair have a good record this year, with a 24% strike-rate from 33 runners. Baker saddles I’m Harry, who is 4 from 11 on the predicted ground/going, and 1 from 1 at the distance. Cosgrove has 2 wins from 7 rides on the 6 year old gelding (and two 2^nd’s).

I’M HARRY – 5/2 Paddy Power WIN

Free Horse Racing Tips | Racing Stats & Best Bets | Results Summary So Far

Over the last 12 days (7^th-18^th May) we have provided stats and best bets for the UK racing, with some great results. Below I’ve compiled the list of runners and winners from all the selections over the past 12 days, and the Level Stake Profit (LSP), from £10 stakes (To Win Only), from the stats and best bets posted.

Odds are advised odds (or Starting Price best odds)

07/05/2015

Winc 5:50 Sir Dylan                          20/1       WIN

Winc 6:20 Until Forever                      8/1       WIN

Winc 6:20 Midnight Oscar                   6/1         -

Winc 7:20 Agapanthus                       9/1         -

Winc 7:50 Buy Back Bob                  15/8       WIN

Winc 8:20 Head To First                    9/4         -

08/05/2015

Asc 5:35 Moscato                              4/1       WIN

Asc 6:05 Princess Kodia                   16/1          -

Asc 6:40 Pure Line                            6/1          P

Asc 7:10 Shingle                               8/1          -

Asc 7:45 Capel Path                          5/2          P

Asc 8:15 Cilento                                6/1       WIN

12/05/2015

Sou 5:20 Accessallareas                     3/1         -

Sou 5:50 Emral Silk                           4/1         -

Sou 6:55 Rocky Rebel                      10/1         P

Sou 7:55 Holly Bush Henry                9/2         P

13/05/2015

Bath 5:15 Tawdheef                         7/2       WIN

Bath 5:45 Sequester                       10/3       WIN

14/05/2015

Nmkt 5:15 Highway Robber              5/1         -

Nmkt 7:25 Angel Vision                    5/1       WIN

Nmkt 8:00 Cabelo                            9/1         -

15/05/2015

Ain 6:00 Malibu Sun                        10/1        -

Ain 8:10 Masterofdeception             16/1      WIN

16/05/2015

Donc 6:15 Sound Reflection              7/2         -

Donc 7:15 Aussie Ruler                    6/1         -

Donc 8:45 Ustinov                           8/1         -

18/05/2015

Red 2:20 London Protocol                11/1         P

Red 3:50 innocently                        10/1         -

Red 4:20 Maureb                              6/1         -

Wind 6:05 Pearl Blue                        2/1      WIN

Wind 6:35 Bourne Symphony          50/1         -

Wind 8:05 Mutatis Mutandis              6/1      WIN

Wind 8:35 Sydney Ruffdiamond         9/4         -

SUMMARY

33 Best Bets @ £10 stakes (Win Only) = £330

11 Winners (33% strike-rate) (48% Win or Place)

£10 stakes (Win Only) Returns - £867.08

Profit     - £537.08


Check Tuesday's Chepstow stats and best bets HERE

Premier League Football | Raheem Sterling Set To Turn Back On Liverpool?

www.telegraph.co.uk

Sky Sports have announced that sources believe winger Raheem Sterling will hold talks with Liverpool this week, and tell them he doesn't want to sign a new contract. 

Sterling has 2 years left on his current deal, and it may now be a question of where he'll be playing his football next season. 
Sky sources say the Liverpool youngster feels bullied into signing a new deal, and that the club haven't protected him enough from bad publicity.

So we should find out this week, the outcome of Sterling's future. I believe if he does go, and if it's trophies he wants, probably will do, he'll choose City, who are current favourites, as listed below.

Current Odds for Sterling's Next Club - via Odds Checker

Man City 7/4

Arsenal 9/4

Chelsea 4/1

Real Madrid 6/1

Bayern 8/1

PSG 10/1

Barcelona 14/1

Manchester United 14/1

Juventus 16/1

Free Horse Racing Tips | Stats & Best Bets | Tuesday's Chepstow Card

An early look towards tomorrow’s (Tuesday) UK racing, and once again, as it’s proven most successive of late, it’s the stats and best bets, firstly with a focus on the afternoon Chepstow card. There may be further post for the other meetings, either for the afternoon and/or evening, so do keep a look out.

Have a look through the racing stats and best bets posts over the last 1-2 weeks (blog archive to the left <<<), we’ve hit 20/1, 16/1, 5/1 and a couple of 6/1 winners, amongst others!

CHEPSTOW

2:10

Trainer Ralph Beckett, and jockey Pat Dobbs team up in the opener at Chepstow, with Another Boy, sired by Paco Boy, and out of a winner over 5f at 2yo (kurtanella).

Beckett has a very good record at the course over recent season, with a 29% strike-rate (LSP +£16.70 - £1stakes) – overall course record 33% strike-rate - LSP +£36.15

Dobbs is another who has enjoyed this track over recent years, with a 32% strike-rate from 41 rides.

When teamed together this year, the pair have 5 wins from 18 runners (28% SR) – 1 win in 3 with 2 year olds.

ANOTHER BOY – 3/1 Bet365 WIN

3:40

Trainer Andrew Balding has a 26% strike-rate over the last 5 seasons at Chepstow. He saddles Hala Madrid, who was just held on her reappearance 15 days ago (2/11), just her second start, and the drop down in class here may make the difference.

HALA MADRID – 5/2 Paddy Power

4:10

Jockey David Probert has a 100% strike-rate when riding for trainer, Patrick Chamings at Chepstow. Chaming’s has 3 wins from 11 at the course over recent years (27% strike-rate), with an LSP of +£11.50 (£1 stakes).

DOUBLE CZECH – 6/1 Bet365 WIN

Horse Racing UK | Free Tips | Windsor Stats & Best Bets

Not much luck in the afternoons racing for the stats and best bets, with just London Protocol placing at 7/1 (advised 11/1).

Onto the evening cards, and hopefully a change of luck…..

WINDSOR

George Baker has been in great form over the last fortnight, with a 32% strike-rate from 22 rides (LSP +£23.71).

Baker also has a good record here at Windsor over recent seasons, with a Level Stake Profit of +£45.73 (£1 stakes) – 17% strike-rate.

Baker has 2 mounts this evening at Windsor, firstly with Pearl Blue in the opener, and then Mutatis Mutandis in the 8:05

6:05 – PEARL BLUE 2/1 – Sky Bet WIN

8:05 – MUTATIS MUTANDIS 6/1 – Coral WIN

6:35

Pat Cosgrove is showing a Level Stake Profit of +£70.96 this season (£1 stakes), and has had 6 wins from his last 30 rides (20% SR).

Cosgrove has had 2 wins from 3 rides in 2 year old maidens this year.

BOURNE SYMPHONY 50/1 – 888 Sport

8:35

Trainer Richard Hannon is having decent success at Windsor this season, with a LSP of +£20.56 (£1 stakes). He saddles course-distance winner, 2 weeks ago, Sydney Ruffdiamond, in the 8:35 Handicap

SYDNEY RUFFDIAMOND 9/4 – Paddy Power

Premier League | Relegation Battle | Hull City Look Destined For Relegation

It was another disappointing result for Steve Bruce’s Hull City at the weekend, as they lost their 3^rd successive league game, and their 6^th in 8 games, as they went down 2-0 to Spurs, with goals from Chadli and Rose. 

I had tipped The Tigers for relegation a while back, with their run of very tough fixtures to end the season, and it now looks like reality, as Hull need a win against United on the last day, to have any chance of Survival.

The other team I had mentioned as dangers for relegation, were Newcastle, who lost their 9^th game from the last 10 at the weekend, despite leading 1-0 at Half-Time against relegated QPR, who eventually won 2-1, thanks to goals from Phillips and Fer. The Magpies now sit just above Hull, 2 points ahead, but can still survive, whatever their result against West Ham, should Hull City fail to win.

Sunderland are the remaining team in danger, sitting in 16^th, 1 point ahead of Newcastle, but with that game in-hand, against Arsenal, on Wednesday night, and then ending the season away to Chelsea at Stamford Bridge.

It’ll be tough for Newcastle and Sunderland to pick up any points now with the remaining game(s), but I don’t believe Hull will beat United, and its Steve Bruce’s team that will go down in my opinion, as previously feared.

The main talking point of the weekend though, has to be that of Southampton’s Sadio Mane, who managed to grab the quickest hat-trick you’ll possibly, ever see, in just 2 minutes 56 seconds, against Aston Villa. Villa were shocking to be fair, but you still have to be in the right place, and finish, and that’s what he did. That’s now 10 goals and 3 assists in 29 Premier League appearances (6 as sub) for the Senegalese international, who arrived from Austrian club, RB Salzburg in September. 


Check back soon for the correct score predictions for the final weekend of the 2014/15 Premier League season