Friday's Horse Racing UK | Stats

Plenty of racing once again on Friday, and I'm going to take you through what the stats are telling us, and which selections to make from those stats, with a focus on the flat meetings from Chepstow and Musselburgh.


Chepstow

1:40 Jockey Pat Dobbs has a 32% strike-rate at Chepstow over the last few years, and is teamed up with trainer Ralph Beckett, who also has a good record here, with a 26% strike rate over the same period, and a 31% strike-rate on all runners here.
This combination has won 7 flat races from 23 over the last 5 years (30% SR), with a LSP of +£15.28 - £1 stakes.

Back AIR SQUADRON @ 9/2

Beckett also has PERRAULT in the 2:45 (6/4)


3:50 Danny Brock has 2 wins from 11 this season when riding for trainer Jonathan Portman, with a massive LSP of +£106.50 - £1 stakes. He stakes the ride of BUCKLEBERRY, who won on the all-weather last time out a month ago. 

Back BUCKLEBERRY @ 11/1


4:25 Trainer Malcolm Saunders is having a good season so far, and has been in good form over the last fortnight, with a 30% strike rate and an LSP of +£54.00 - £1 stakes
He has PIXELEEN and SPIRIT IN TIME in the 4:25 handicap.

Back PIXELEEN @ 16/1

        SPIRIT IN TIME @ 33/1


Musselburgh

2:55 FREDRIKA is 3 from 8 on the predicted 'going', and all 4 wins have come at this trip. Won by a head last time out, and should be right up there again here.

Back FREDRIKA @ 9/2


3:25 Trainer Philip Kirby has a very good 25% strike rate at this course over the last few years (15 wins from 60 runners) - LSP +£46.56 - £1 stakes
Joe Fanning takes the mount of ROCKY TWO, who is a course winner over 13f
The Kirby/Fanning partnership has a 19% strike-rate over the last 5 seasons - 3 wins from 16 - 2 of those wins in last season in 2014

Back ROCKY TWO @ 15/2


4:00 and 4:35 Trainer David O'Meara has been in fine form over the last fortnight with a 24% strike rate (LSP +£18.77), and has a 19% strike rate at Musselburgh over the last 5 seasons. He, and jockey Tudhope combine for 3 rides at Musselburgh on Friday.
Tudhope also been in good form with a 21% strike rate with 7 wins in the last 33 runs. 

Back REGAL DAN & TAKAFOL @ 7/2



And finally, just a quick mention of the Punchestown Festival in Ireland, with just 2 days left now.

Willie Mullins heads into the fourth day with 10 winners so far in the festival, from 43 runners (23% SR), with 6 of those wins in Grade 1 races. A further 8 have placed, either second or third. 

Once again, the trainer takes another lorry load of horses, and it'll be interesting to see how many more winners he'll get, and how many he'll finish with come the end of the festival on Saturday. 


BEST BETS FOR DAY 4

4:20 BISHOPS ROAD (EW) 14/1

4:55 BURN AND TURN 5/1

6:40 ALTON BAY (EW) 13/2