There’s seven Barclays Premier League fixtures on Saturday,
including the clash between Arsenal and Newcastle later in the evening. Before
the clash of the weekend on Sunday, as in-form United host struggling Liverpool,
and after that, to the Liberty Stadium for Swansea against Tottenham. Monday
night football sees QPR travel to Goodison.
I’m going to look at a couple of games, provide some stats,
and give some predictions, and hopefully find a few winning bets for all;
BURNLEY V SOUTHAMPTON
Southampton haven’t won in the League since beating
Leicester at the beginning of November, and have lost their last 3, although
Southampton will feel very disappointed not to have got something from both the
Arsenal, and United game. Having said this, the Saints still have the best
defensive record in the league, conceding 12 from 15. And Burnley are joint
lowest goal scorers in the league (with Villa), with just 10 goals in 15 games.
Burnley have only won 1 of 8 league games at Turf Moor this
season, and scored just 6 goals, and conceded 11 in them games. Burnley have
only scored more than once in a game this season, on two occasions, and both of
them, away from home, against Stoke and Leicester.
Burnley have conceded the most headed goals, with 9 this
season, and when you see how good Pelle is in the air, you can imagine he’ll be
getting on the score sheet.
Southampton are unbeaten in their last four games against
Burnley in all competitions, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and have lost just one of
their last six away games at Turf Moor (W2 D3 L1).
Mark Clattenberg takes charge of this game, and he has given
the second highest amount of yellow cards in the league this season, with 83 in
18 games, an average of 4.6 per game, with 2 red cards shown.
VERDICT; It’s a
tough one to call really, with Southampton near the top, and Burnley near the
bottom, but Burnley above Southampton in the form table. The Saints will
definitely want to get back on track here, but Burnley won’t just lay down.
Under 2.5 goals – 4/6
(Paddy Power)
Over 30 points – Card
Index – 8/13 (Paddy Power)
CYRSTAL PALACE V
STOKE CITY
Stoke are looking for back to back wins for the first time this
season, after defeating Arsenal 3-2 last week. Stoke have lost 4 of their 8
away games in the league this season, and have only scored 8 in them games,
conceding 11. Palace haven’t fared much better at home, with just 2 wins and 4
losses in 7.
Stoke have failed to score in just 1 of their last 6 league games.
Palace failed to score in their last 2 league games, but have only failed to
score on two occasions in 7 of their home games this season.
Jonathan Walters is key to Stoke, and should be okay after
picking up a knock. He has either scored or assisted six goals in his last
seven Premier League games (four goals, two assists).
According to OPTA, only Crystal Palace (209) have committed
more fouls than Stoke City (195) in the Premier League this season. Kevin
Friend takes charge here, and he has given 58 yellow (average of 4.46 per game)and
2 red cards in 14 games this season.
VERDICT; Another
tough one to call regarding the score and result. Personally I can see it
ending in a score draw, most probably 1-1. With both teams the top fouling
teams, and a referee who like to give a few cards, you can expect quite a few
bookings here.
Both Teams To Score –
YES 5/6 (Bet365)
Over 40 Points – Card
Index – 13/10 (Paddy Power)
MANCHESTER UNITED V
LIVERPOOL (SUNDAY)
Manchester United have now won 5 in a row in the league,
while Liverpool have only won 2 in their last 6. But, despite this form,
anything can happen in these games.
Liverpool have scored 6 goals in their last 6 league games,
but United’s defence can be all over the place a lot of the time, as they
struggle to get a settled back line. United have scored 10 goals in their last
6 league games, conceding just 4, despite those jittery moments at the back.
Angel Di Maria will be missing again for Manchester United
having sat out the last two games with a hamstring injury. But there is a
little good news for Van Gaal as defenders Rafael and Phil Jones are both back
from their long-term injuries.
Mario Balotelli is back in training and could return to the Liverpool
squad for the trip to Old Trafford.
Robin Van Persie has scored 6 goals in the last 9 league
games against Liverpool, and having scored against Hull, and twice against
Southampton, he may well be back to near his better form.
There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 12 of Man Utd's
last 15 home games in the Premier League. And there have been over 2.5 goals in
13 of Liverpool’s last 14 away games.
Over 2.5 goals – 8/11
(Paddy Power)
Van Persie Anytime
Goal Scorer – 5/6 (Paddy Power)
*Paddy Power are also offering Money Back Special if this
game ends in a draw – T&C’s will apply, check the link below to sign up
today, and get a free bet too!
CORRECT SCORE
PREDICTIONS
Sunderland v West Ham
– 1-2 9/1 (Paddy Power)
Chelsea v Hull City –
3-0 6/1 (Paddy Power)
Arsenal v Newcastle –
2-0 7/1 (Paddy Power)
Leicester v Man City –
0-2 8/1 (Paddy Power)
And that’s about it for now, but check back soon for more
football and racing posts.
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