Friday, 19 December 2014

Barclays Premier League – Saturday 20/12/2014 Preview, Stats & Tips


The early kick off on Saturday comes from the Etihad, as Manchester City take on Crystal Palace, and look to make it 6 consecutive league wins.

Crystal Palace have won just one away game in the league so far this season, which came against Everton in September, and Neil Warnock’s men haven’t won in the last 4 games, after beating Liverpool 3-1, and they’ve scored just 2 goals in those games since.

As mentioned, City are looking to make it 6 wins from 6 in the league. With all the doubts to the attacking line, it could be a long afternoon for both sides. Pellegrini’s men have won their last 2 league games 1-0, against Everton and Leicester, and clearly miss Aguero, but the return of David Silva is a huge positive.


KEY STATS

Crystal Palace haven’t won away at City since 1990

City have won 22 of their last 26 games at home in the league

City have scored in 13 successive league matches

City have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 matches against Palace in all competitions

City have been winning at both half time and full time in their last 3 matches in the Premier League

 

VERDICT & TIPS

This will surely go to City, I just can’t see Palace getting anything. It’s a tough one to call regards to the correct score. If Kompany’s out, and you have Mangala and Demichelis, Palace can cause them two problems. And with Aguero, Dzeko and Jovetic all out, goals may lack for City.

MAN CITY WIN (1.29 – BET365) – 2-0 (6/1 –BET365)

 

West Ham are looking to make it 4 wins in their last 5 league games, as they host a struggling Leicester City. Leicester sit bottom of the table with no wins in the last 11 games, since beating United 5-3. They’ve managed just 6 goals in those 11 games, and you can’t see it getting any better for them.

 

KEY STATS

West Ham have lost just 4 of their last 16 Barclays Premier League matches

Leicester have not won any of their last 17 top flight away trips to London (D3 L14) and have conceded at least two goals in each of their last eight trips to the capital.

Leicester have lost their last 6 away matches in the Premier League.

Leicester have conceded at least 2 goals in their last 4 away matches in the Premier League.

West Ham are undefeated in their last 6 matches against Leicester in all competitions.

 

VERDICT & TIPS

West Ham win all day long for me. Leicester are really struggling, and Allardyce has enough quality up front to see them off I think.

WEST HAM WIN (1.7 – BET365) – 2-1 (8/1 – BET365)

 

Burnley travel to White Hart Lane to face Tottenham, who come off the back of a 4-0 victory over Newcastle in the League Cup. Burnley’s away form is poor with just 1 win from 7 in the league, scoring 4 goals, and conceding 13. Tottenham’s league form at White Hart Lane has been a little suspect, having won 3, but lost 4 (and drawn 1), but their mid-week win in the league cup should add confidence to the team.

 

KEY STATS

Tottenham have seen over 2.5 goals in their last 6 matches against Burnley in all competitions, and there have also been over 2.5 goals in 8 of Spurs’ last 9 league games.

There have been 21 goals scored in the last four meetings in all competitions between Tottenham Hotspur and Burnley, with at least five in each match.

Burnley have failed to score in 5 of their last 7 away matches in the Premier League.

 

VERDICT & TIPS

Another home win for me here today. Burnley are up to 5th in the form table (last 6 league games), with just 1 loss and 3 wins, and only conceded 5, but even so, I can see Spurs winning this one comfortably enough.

TOTTENHAM WIN (1.5 – BET365) – 3-0 (10/1 – BET365)

OVER 2.5 GOALS (8/11 – BET365)

 

Southampton host Everton this weekend, and will be looking to get back on track after 4 consecutive league losses, and a disappointing league cup defeat in mid-week against Sheffield United. Despite the recent losses, the Saints have still got the joint best defensive record in the league (conceded 13 – same as Chelsea).  Everton beat QPR in the Monday Night Football, and are looking for back to back league wins for the first time this season.

 

KEY STATS

Southampton have been drawing at half time and losing at full time in their last 4 matches in the Premier League.

Southampton are undefeated in their last 5 home matches against Everton in all competitions.

 

VERDICT & TIPS

This is one I really am struggling to call. Southampton had a couple of tough games, which you expected they may lose points in, after such a blistering start to the season, but last week’s league defeat to Burnley, and the mid-week loss to Sheffield United in the League Cup came as quite a shock. Again, Southampton will be missing key players, as Schneiderlin and Wanyama serve bans for reaching the yellow card limit in mid-week, and doubt over Steven Davies. As for Everton, they haven’t exactly been consistent, but I can’t see them losing here.

HALF TIME/FULL TIME – DRAW/EVERTON (6/1 – BET365) – 0-1 (17/2 – BET365)

 

OTHER TIPS – CORRECT SCORES

Aston Villa v Man Utd    0-2 (13/2 – BET365)

Hull City v Swansea – Bony First Goal Scorer – Swansea WIN       1-2 (40/1 – BET365)

QPR v West Brom            2-2 (14/1 – BET365)
 
SATURDAY'S BEST PREMIER LEAGUE TREBLE
WEST HAM, SPURS & MAN UTD TO WIN (4.24 BET365)

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