Saturday 2 August 2014

Glorious Goodwood Tips - Day 5

Another great day of racing in-store, and my member tips were sent out last night. I've decided to post them on here today, as I've not had chance to post my free tips from Doncaster. The prices were correct at time of sending to members, and will have changed, of course. As has the first race at 2:05 in terms of runners, with loads of non-runners!

2:05 - 32REDSport.com Handicap Class 2 - 6f
28 runners set to compete, so as expected, not the easiest to pick a winner. The best I can find, and my pick, is TATLISU (6/1 - Paddy Power), who's been back to 6f of late, and been in good form- 2/13 latest in Class 2 at Hamilton, and 1/12 previous start, beating SKYBET DASH winner Muthmir by a neck. Both run at good pace. By Red Clubs; from fast family. Ryan Moore is back aboard, and has been in good form of late.

The main danger for me, and maybe worth an each-way bet, is Stepping Out (10/1 - BET365), who's on a hat-trick here. Made all last time out, and in command towards finish. A step up in Class, but every chance of coming close. Course-distance winner. Excellent record at the 6f trip with 3 wins, 1 placed in 4 runs.

Another danger would be the 4x course winner Slip Sliding Away (25/1 - William Hill). Trainer Peter Hedges has a 35% strike rate at the course.



2:40 - Jaguar Stakes Handicap Class 2 - 1m 4f

Another big field, and a few with every chance, but it's an each-way bet on BLACK SHADOW (16/1 - Ladbrokes) that's advised. 3 Flat turf starts, 1 win, 2 second. The win was course win over 11f. Latest run was 2 lengths behind What About Carlo at Epsom (Class 2 - Good). Trip should be ideal. By 5x Group 1 winner New Approach.

Dangers in the race come from last time out winner (Thursday) on the course, Rainbow Rock (9/2 - Ladbrokes). Stepped up in trip after last two runs at 10f. Definitely on the up and every chance. Course-distance winner Oasis Fantasy (9/1 - Paddy Power) came 2/10 latest run, in Class 2 handicap at Ascot, and Richard Hughes takes over as jockey. Second Step is open to further progression, and can't be ruled out.



3:15 - Markel Insurance Nassau Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 - 1m 1f 192y

I can't see past top pedigree, VENUS DE MILO (11/4 - Paddy Power) for this one. Back to form latest two starts, 1/7 (G3), and 2/8 (G1), in Ireland. 4 wins and 3 seconds from 9 starts. 2 G3 wins, 3 G1 seconds.

Next best for me is Sultanina (9/2 - 888.sport), who should appreciate the step back down to 10f, with the fast ground no issue, though yet to race on g-f.



3:50 - 32RED CUP (Stewards' Cup) Handicap - 6f

I've said it a few times, and I'll say it again, another tough one to call in a wide open race! SKYBET Dash winner, MUTHMIR (11/2 - Coral) just gets the vote, and can make it two wins in a week here.

Dangers come from course-distance winner Intrinsic (15/2 - William Hill), who can progress further on the faster ground. Another course-distance winner, Joey's Destiny (25/1 - Ladbrokes) may also be worth an each-way bet at the price, and has been decent in some bigger fields in the past.