Saturday 18 April 2015

Chelsea v Manchester United Preview

Not long left now until the big kick-off between Chelsea and Manchester United from Stamford Bridge.

Manchester United announced yesterday, that there were injury concerns for Phil Jones, Daly Blind, Michael Carrick and Marcos Rojo, and that's far from ideal, especially since Carrick's come back into the team, United have looked much more composed in the middle of the park. 

Chelsea have Diego Costa missing with his hamstring problem, but have no other injury problems.

United come into the game off the back of a 4-2 win in the Manchester derby, and have won their last 6 Premier League games.
Van Gaal now look to have confirmed their top 4 placing for this season, and will be looking to dent Chelsea's hopes of landing their hands on the trophy, for just the 4th time. The blues need just 11 points from the remaining 7 games to secure the Premier League Title.
Chelsea haven't lost in 11 Premier League games, since their New Year's Day defeat to bitter rivals Spurs, losing 5-3 at White Hart Lane (W8 D3), but their scoring rate at present isn't great, and have only manage 2 or more goals in a game, twice in their last 7 league games. 

STATS

Chelsea have lost just one of their last 12 Barclays Premier League home games against Manchester United (W7 D4 L1).

Chelsea have scored 100 goals in 47 games this season (2.13 per game) while United have 68 in 38 matches (1.79).

United have scored 3 or more goals in 5 of their last 10 Premier League games, including 3 of the last 4.

Juan Mata has three goals and an assist in his last three Premier League games.

There have been OVER 2.5 goals in United's last 4 league games

PREDICTION

With Costa missing, and United suffering the injuries they have, I think it'll be a very tight game. Had United not lost the likes of Carrick and Blind, I'd have edged United to take the three points. But, with those injuries, I'm going for a draw.

DRAW 1-1


Horse Racing UK - What The Stats Say

A gorgeous day for racing across the country today, and there's plenty of meetings to look forward to, including Ayr featuring the Coral Scottish Grand National at 3:45, and flat racing from Newbury and Nottingham.

So, here's a few of the key stats and best bets for a couple of those cards;


NEWBURY

- When Jim Crowley and trainer Dominic Ffrench Davis have teamed up, they have an impressive 43% strike-rate and a level stakes profit of +£72.50 (£1 stakes) - Davis runs JELLY MONGER in the 2:15 - 50/1 BetVictor




- Dane O'Neill has a 100% strike-rate when riding for trainer John Gosden at Newbury - O'neill rides FANNAAN in the 2:50 - 11/1 BetVictor 



AYR

- Paul Nicholls has a 24% strike-rate this season, and a level stakes profit of +£59.06 - Nicholls also has a 37% strike-rate at the course over recent seasons - He runs SOLAR IMPULSE in the 2:00 - 4/1 across the board




- Jim Goldie-trained TOO COOL TO FOOL has 3 wins from 5 in Jumps races at Ayr, with anoverall 35% strike-rate at the course. He runs in the 4:55 - 16/1 Boylesports




- Jockey Sam Bowen has been in great form over the last couple of weeks, with 10 winners from 25, a 40% strike-rate - He takes the ride of SIR WILL in the 5:30 - 5/1 Boylesport