Another lot of stats and best bets for Tuesday’s racing,
with a focus on the Leicester meeting...
CURRENT GOING (11pm Mon): GOOD TO FIRM (Good in places; GoingStick 7.1)
(Watered). (Light cloud)
LEICESTER
3:00
Saeed bin Suroor has been in good form of late, with a 30%
strike rate from 20 runners, and he also has in good course record over the
last 5 seasons with a 27% strike rate from 30 runners.
When teamed up with jockey James Doyle this season, the pair
have 12 wins from 47 (26% SR), and 1 win from 2 with 2 year olds.
Doyle is another with a good record at Leicester over the
last 5 seasons, with a 22% strike rate, and a Level Stake Profit of +£56.29
(from £1 stakes)
VERY HONEST – 4/1 Paddy Power
4:30
Marco Botti trained Alfajer (current favourite) runs in the 3
year old handicap, and these such races have proved profitable over the last
few years for favourites, with a LSP of +£32.10 (from £1 stakes).
Once again, it’s James Doyle who takes the ride, and as
already mentioned, he has a very good course record over recent seasons.
ALFAJER – 9/4 Boylesports
5:00
Trainer Mark Johnston has been in good form over the past
couple of weeks, with 20 winners from 74 runners (27% SR) and an LSP of +£53.13
(£1 stakes). Johnston saddles King’s Pavilion in the 2 year old maiden, who is
a bay colt out of a Group 1 winner over 6f at 2 year old (Embassy) – Race Record
4 starts 3 wins (1 placed) – retired at 2.
Johnston and Adam Kirby have combined to win one 2 year old
maiden already this season. Kirby has 5 wins from 10 rides on 2 year olds this
season (50% strike rate – LSP +£28.45 (£1 stakes).
KING’S PAVILION – 4/1 Paddy Power PLACED 2/9 (SP 8/1)
5:30
Johnston and Kirby also combine for this, the second of the
2 year old maiden’s from Leicester. Kirby takes the ride of Gold Medallion, a
bay colt by Acclamation, who was a multiple winning sprinter at 2 & 4, and
capable of producing fast & speedy 2 year olds.
GOLD MEDALLION – 7/1 Bet365 WIN
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