Monday 27 April 2015

Horse Racing Stats – Tuesday’s Cards

After all the sunshine we’ve had over the last week, it’s finally starting to turn across the country, with heavy showers expected at many of the race meetings today.

There are 5 meetings across the UK, and the start of Punchestown over in Ireland, where weather is predicted as cloudy at the moment.

I’m going to focus on stats for the afternoon meeting from Nottingham for this post;

NOTTINGHAM

When teaming up, Liam Jones and trainer Alan Coogan have a 60% strike rate. Coogan sends out RALPH MCTELL (2:15) who is currently 33/1. **NOW 100/1 BP

Jockey Joe Doyle is in good form of late, with a 31% strike rate over the last 2 weeks. He is also boasting a Level Stake Profit of +£83.75 this season (£1 stakes). Doyle takes the ride of ARTFUL PRINCE (2:45), who is a course-winner, and was beaten favourite last time out – Currently 7/1

Trainer David Elsworth has an impressive LSP of +£68.25 (£1 stakes), at Nottingham over the last few seasons, with a 21% strike rate.

Elsworths’ best form comes in handicaps, and especially 4yo+ handicaps, with a 31% strike rate, and 33% strike rate respectively, in 2015.

He sends out 3 runners to Nottingham;

2:45        DERULO                            10/1
              WATER DANCER               16/1 Non-Runner

3:45        DANSILI DASH                 12/1

Jockey, William Twiston-Davies has a strike rate of 75% when riding for owner Planetoid Partnership. The big negative is the fact William Twiston-Davies hasn’t won at this course in the last 5 seasons, from 22 rides. 

Twiston-Davies takes the ride of PLANETOID for trainer Jim Best in the 4:15 handicap, and is currently best priced 15/2.





Hull v Liverpool - A Scrappy Encounter?

Hull City v Liverpool Preview

There’s two midweek Barclays Premier League games this week, with Hull City and Liverpool on Tuesday, and Leicester City v Chelsea on the Wednesday. So, first up, the battle from the KC Stadium, where Liverpool travel to Hull, with both teams scrapping for their desired league position; Hull fighting relegation, and Liverpool trying to secure that Champions League spot, ahead of United, Arsenal and City.

Hull’s chances of staying up were boosted of course over the weekend, with their first league win in seven, courtesy of N’Doye’s brace. Hull City edged the majority of possession in the game, and had 21 shots at goal (7 on target) in total, compared to Palaces 7 (3 on target).

Hull City have won just one of the seven Barclays Premier League matches against Liverpool (W1 D3 L3), and have failed to score in 3 of their last 4 against the reds.

Hull haven’t kept consecutive clean sheets in the Premier League since 2013, and haven’t won back-to-back league games since February, when beating Villa, then QPR, both at the KC.


Despite a total of 74% possession away to West Brom, once again like a few times this season, Liverpool failed to take their chances, and managed just 5 shots on target from 22 shots at goal. 
Liverpool’s spending and transfers not good enough once again, especially up-front, when needing to replace Suarez;

Lambert – Decent player, very good in the air. The fact it was his dream club, and he was stacking shelves a few years ago, it was a ‘fairy tale’ transfer more than anything, which hasn’t paid off.

Ballotelli – What words can you use to describe this man…..There’s no doubt he has technical ability. If the signing pulls off; he settles and is banging in the goals, then it’s an absolute bargain for £16 million, but is the biggest risk in World football.

Borini – If memory serves me correctly, this player wanted to re-join Sunderland (on loan, or make a permanent move), but Rogers and Liverpool told him he couldn’t go, and should fight for his first team place. And he’s hardly stepped foot on a football pitch all season!
**Turns out I was mistaken about Borini, and it was him who wouldn't go, and wanted to fight for his place. I wonder if money influenced the decision......

And this is all after the £30+ million signing of Andy Carroll, what a fiasco that was!

And it was confirmed today that Sturridge may not feature again this season, as he struggles to shake off a hip problem. Sturridge has made just 12 starts in 2014/15, and is now out with his 15th injury since joining Liverpool in January 2013.



Liverpool travel to Hull with just 8 wins from their 16 league games, away from home, so far this season, and with Hull’s confidence high after their weekend result, it will surely be a tough night for the reds. I can picture a scrappy encounter, with plenty of missed chances, and probably points shared, with both teams scoring. 

Free Horse Racing Tips - Monday

A new week, and another great day for racing as the sun continues to shine around the country.......it'll never last! Enjoy it now!

The greatest jockey, if not sportsman, of all time, A P McCoy had his final rides before retirement, in front of a full house at Sandown on Saturday, but unfortunately couldn't end his magnificent career with a win, as he finished 3rd on both Mr Mole, and Box Office. And I think we can all agree people definitely got carried away with the A P factor, as Box Office was never a 5/2 favourite.
The commitment and dedication, just to get that chance to ride another winner, even if it cost him more in travel expenses, was just phenomenal, not to mention the time away from the family and training involced. He may well be retiring as a jockey, but this man will be around the sport of horse racing for the rest of his life, and will be remembered by all, as the greatest of all time.


But, as with everything in life, we must go on, and there's plenty to be getting on with, and below is the free horse racing tips for Monday's evening meetings;


WINDSOR LUCKY 15 (1)

5:30 - SHANGHAI GLORY 11/4

6:00 - GOSSIPING 7/4

6:30 - WONDER LAISH 4/6

7:30 - LIGHT OF ASIA 2/1

£1 STAKES (£15 TOTAL) RETURNS £189


EACH-WAY DOUBLE

WIN 7:00 UNISON (6/1)

WOL 6:50 LADY ATLAS (7/2)

£5 EACH-WAY RETURNS £176.20


Good luck with your bets today, and check back later, for stats and additional tips for this evenings racing.


Where's the Internet Gone!?

As you'll have noticed, there's not been any posts the last couple of days, as my internet decided it was having a few days off to enjoy the sun......and enjoy the racing which saw A P McCoy ride out for the last time on Saturday. Great time to cut off!

Well, the internet is back, and so will the tips be, once I've sorted tonight's meetings out. Check back soon, thanks for your patience.