Thursday 21 May 2015

Horse Racing UK Tips | Friday's Bath & Goodwood Cards | Stats & Best Bets

A fairly disappointing day overall yesterday for the stats and best bets, with the only winner, and profit coming from a dead heat as Sugar Boy (advised 7/1) battled it out with 3/1 favourite, Critical Risk to finish dead level. There were placed efforts from Our Joy (6/1) and Bashiba (8/1), but it’s the winners we’re looking for. 

Once again, we move on and hope for better luck to come, and the UK racing to end the week comes from Bath, Goodwood, Haydock, Musselburgh, Pontefract and Worcester, so there’ plenty to have a look into. Below, we've compiled the stats and best bets for the afternoon flat meetings at Bath and Goodwood, best of luck!


BATH

2:10

Jockey Aaron Jones has had 2 wins from his last 6 rides (LSP +£8.50 - £1 stakes). He teams up with trainer, Paul Cole, and the pair have a 67% strike rate when teamed together.

PENDO – 14/1 Bet365


2:40

Trainer David Elsworth is having a good season, with a 20% strike rate, and a £1 level stake profit of £47.62. The trainer is in fine form of late too, with 4 winners from his last 11 runners (36% SR) LSP +£16.38, and has enjoyed success at the course over recent years, with 3 wins from just 7 runners over the last 5 seasons (43% SR).

IVORS INVOLVEMENT – 4/1 William Hill PLACED 2/5 (SP 6/1)


3:50

Jockey Michael J M Murphy has a very good record at Bath, with 9 wins from 35 rides (26% SR). He teams up with Mark Johnston, who also has a very good record at this course. Johnston has a 28% strike rate over recent seasons here, with 17 wins from 60 runners, and a £1 level stakes profit of £34.08.

MISTER ROCKANDROLL – 7/1 Ladbrokes


5:00

Trainer Malcolm Saunders has been in great from this season in 4+ year old handicaps, with 5 wins from 14 runners (36% SR) and a huge £1 level stakes profit of £57.50.

When teamed up with jockey Martin Dwyer in 4+ year old handicaps this year, they have 3 wins from 10 (30% SR) – LSP +£24.00.

CAMELEY DAWN – 8/1 Bet365


5:35

When teaming up jockey Edward Greatrex and trainer Joseph Tuite have a 67% strike rate. The pair are in good form of late, with Greatrex winning 3 of his last 9 rides (placed in 2), and Tuite sending out 2 winners from his last 7.

LADY SYLVIA – 6/1 William Hill


GOODWOOD

2:20

Trainer Jonathan Portman is having a very good season in-terms of level stakes profit, returning +£82.00 from £1 stakes, although he has been a little out of form over the last fortnight.

Portman also has a good record at Goodwood though, with a 21% strike rate over recent seasons (10 wins from 48 sent out here) and £1 level stakes profit of £50.75. He saddles newcomer Intimately, who is by Intense Focus, a GR1 winning 2 year old (by Giants Causeway).

INTIMATELY – 25/1 Bet365


2:50

This season, Pat Cosgrave is showing a massive £1 level stakes profit of £70.78, and in the last 2 weeks, he’s ran out 11 winners from 39 rides (28% SR) with a £1 level stakes profit of £51.20.

Cosgrave teams up with trainer George Baker, who’s also been in good form of late, with a 25% strike rate over the last 2 weeks (5 wins from 20). When teamed together this year, the pair have a 25% strike rate, with 9 wins from 36.

MUIR LODGE – 10/1 Boylesports


4:00

Trainer Saeed bin Suroor has been in very good form this season, with a 27% strike rate, and returning a £1 level stakes profit of £51.10.

When teamed together with jockey James Doyle this year, the pair boast a 32% strike rate with 3 year olds (10 wins from 31).

Doyle takes the ride of Best Of Times, who’s 1 from 1 at this course, and seeking the four-timer.

BEST OF TIMES – 9/4 Boylesports PLACED 2/6


5:10

This season, Pat Cosgrave is showing a massive £1 level stakes profit of £70.78, and in the last 2 weeks, he’s ran out 11 winners from 39 rides (28% SR) with a £1 level stakes profit of £51.20.

Cosgrave teams up with trainer George Baker, who’s also been in good form of late, with a 25% strike rate over the last 2 weeks (5 wins from 20). When teamed together this year, the pair have a 25% strike rate, with 9 wins from 36.

Cosgrave takes the ride of Humidor who won here last time out (20 days ago), over 5f (stayed on).


HUMIDOR – 9/1 Coral

Horse Racing Tips UK | Thursday's Evening Cards | Stats & Best Bets

A couple of UK meetings this evening, with action at Nottingham and Sandown to round off Thursday.

Nottingham - GOING: GOOD (Good to soft in places; GoingStick 8.0) (Outer track. Rail set 6yds from innermost line on home bend, and 4yds on stands' bend increasing circuit length by 30yds). (Partly cloudy)

Sandown - GOING: GOOD (Good to firm in places; GoingStick: Sprint 7.9, Round 7.8) (Round Course at outermost configuration (as per April Meeting) adding 10yds to all round distances). (Mostly sunny)


STATS & BEST BETS

SANDOWN

5:55

When teamed up together, jockey Oisin Murphy and trainer Clive Cox have a 100% strike-rate.

Murphy has been in very good form over the last fortnight, with a 23% strike-rate from 35 rides.

OUR JOY – 4/1 Betfair PLACED 2/8 (SP 6/1)


6:25

Jockey William Buick has been in fine form of late, with a 27% strike rate from his last 45 rides, and an LSP of +£23.26 (from £1 stakes).

When teamed together with trainer John Gosden this year, the pair boast a 36% strike rate, with 5 wins from 14 – 4 of the 5 wins on 3 year olds.

Gosden already has 6 wins this year, in 3 year old handicaps (32% strike-rate).

SUGAR BOY – 7/1 Boylesports DEAD-HEAT Joint 1st


7:35

When teamed together at Sandown, jockey James Doyle, and trainer John Gosden have a 100% strike-rate. Doyle has been in fine form of late with 12 wins from 49 rides in the last 2 weeks (24% SR).

As already mentioned, Gosden has 6 wins this year, in 3 year old handicaps (32% strike-rate).

COUNTERPROOF – 20/1 Coral


NOTTINGHAM

6:40

Jockey Hayley Turner has a decent record at this course over recent seasons, with a 19% strike-rate and LSP of +£36.75.

Turner takes the ride of Bashiba, who has 4 wins from 8 on the predicted ‘going’ (50% SR), and 4 wins from 11 at the distance (36% SR). Bashiba finished 3rd on reappearance 33 days ago after 7 months off.

BASHIBA – 8/1 Betfair PLACED 3/11


7:15

3lb claimer Shane Gray is in good form at the moment, with 6 wins from last 27 rides (22% SR). He takes the ride of course-distance winner Heartsong, who enjoys this course, with 2 wins from 3 at Nottingham (5f and 6f), and placed 2nd in the other.


HEARTSONG – 12/1 Coral



Free Horse Racing Tips | Thursday's Goodwood Meeting | Stats & Best Bets

It wasn’t a great day for the stats and best bets yesterday, with just 1 win from the 4 selections, as I’m Harry won at Lingfield (advised 5/2, backed into 7/4F). But it still means a massive profit of over £600 in the last 2 weeks (from £10 stakes), so not all bad.

And, there’s plenty more UK racing on Thursday to get stuck into, with meetings at Ayr, Goodwood, Nottingham, Sandown, and Wetherby. So, here’s Thursday’s stats and best bets for the afternoon card from Goodwood, and also keep a look out for more stats and tips for the evening cards;


GOODWOOD

2:10

Jockey Adam Kirby has been in great form of late, with a 21% strike rate from his last 48 rides (LSP of +£30.73 - £1 stakes). He takes the ride of debutante Booby Wheeler in the opener at Goodwood, who is a bay colt by Pivotal, and out of a maiden winner and Group 1 winner at 2 years old (over 6f) – Regal Rose (race record of 2 from 2).

Trainer Clive Cox also has a 21% strike rate over the last fortnight, and already has 1 win from 3 this year, in 2 year old maidens.

BOBBY WHEELER – 7/1 Bet365


5:00

Trainer Amanda Perrett is having a good season so far, with a 22% strike rate from 49 runners, and a Level Stake Profit of +£27.75, from £1 stakes.

Perrett also has 3 wins from 11 3 year old maidens already this year (27% SR). She saddles newcomer Rest Easy, who is out of a winner over 10f at 3 year old (Early Evening), who also won a Class 3 over 9.5f – Race Record of 7 runs, 2 wins, 2 placed.


REST EASY – 25/1 Bet365


bet365