Friday 12 December 2014

Barclays Premier League – 13-15/12/2014


There’s seven Barclays Premier League fixtures on Saturday, including the clash between Arsenal and Newcastle later in the evening. Before the clash of the weekend on Sunday, as in-form United host struggling Liverpool, and after that, to the Liberty Stadium for Swansea against Tottenham. Monday night football sees QPR travel to Goodison.

I’m going to look at a couple of games, provide some stats, and give some predictions, and hopefully find a few winning bets for all;
 

BURNLEY V SOUTHAMPTON

Southampton haven’t won in the League since beating Leicester at the beginning of November, and have lost their last 3, although Southampton will feel very disappointed not to have got something from both the Arsenal, and United game. Having said this, the Saints still have the best defensive record in the league, conceding 12 from 15. And Burnley are joint lowest goal scorers in the league (with Villa), with just 10 goals in 15 games.

Burnley have only won 1 of 8 league games at Turf Moor this season, and scored just 6 goals, and conceded 11 in them games. Burnley have only scored more than once in a game this season, on two occasions, and both of them, away from home, against Stoke and Leicester.

Burnley have conceded the most headed goals, with 9 this season, and when you see how good Pelle is in the air, you can imagine he’ll be getting on the score sheet.

Southampton are unbeaten in their last four games against Burnley in all competitions, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and have lost just one of their last six away games at Turf Moor (W2 D3 L1).

Mark Clattenberg takes charge of this game, and he has given the second highest amount of yellow cards in the league this season, with 83 in 18 games, an average of 4.6 per game, with 2 red cards shown.

VERDICT; It’s a tough one to call really, with Southampton near the top, and Burnley near the bottom, but Burnley above Southampton in the form table. The Saints will definitely want to get back on track here, but Burnley won’t just lay down.

Under 2.5 goals – 4/6 (Paddy Power)

Over 30 points – Card Index – 8/13 (Paddy Power)

Friday's Cheltenham Tips - Horse Racing UK

There's a very good days racing this Friday, so I thought I'd post a couple of tips before my Premier League post goes live for this weekends fixtures. There's action from Cheltenham, Bangor, Doncaster, and on the all-weather at Wolverhampton, and over in Dundalk, Ireland, in the evening.

Cheltenham sees the reappearance of Nicky Henderson-trained Hadrian's Approach, in the Grade 3 Handicap Chase. He was last seen at Sandown in April, when winning the Bet365 Gold Cup Chase. The 7-year old Bay Gelding, by High Chaparral, is set to take on 9 opponents, including in-form The Ould Lad, Paul Nicholls-trained Cowards Close and in-form veteran Charingworth.

As mentioned, I do have a couple of tips, so here they are;


Cheltenham       12:30

KINGS PALACE  4/5 (BetVictor)

Kings Palace gets the vote. Enjoys the course, winning 3 from 4 here, and also 3 from 4 on Good ground. 1 from 1 at the distance, when beating favourite, Creepy (2nd) and Monbeg Dude(3rd)here 14 months ago. Beat off Sausalito Sunrise last time out mid-November. Jockey, Scudamore has a 27% strike rate in Novice Chases this season, and 35% strike rate when teamed up with David Pipe in chases this season.


Cheltenham       13:40

VINTAGE VINNIE   4/1 (Paddy Power)

I've pondered for quite some time on this one, before coming to a decision on Vintage Vinnie. Has finished 3rd on both hurdles starts to date, over 20f, and the step down in trip could be ideal. Trainer Rebecca Curtis has a 40% strike rate in handicap hurdles this season.


Cheltenham       14:10

COWARDS CLOSE   5/1 (Coral)

Since the start of November 2014 Paul Nicholls has won 2x Grade 3, 2x Grade 2 and 5x Grade 1 races, including the Betfair Chase and the Tingle Creek Chase. He has Cowards Close in this Grade 3, and in the form Nicholls is in of late, and in the big races, the gelding by Presenting can't be ruled out, and has every chance of progressing. When teamed together this season, Nicholls and Twiston-Davies have a 28% strike rate in chases.

 



OTHER TIPS

Chelt 14:40 - Duke of Lucca      13/2

Chelt 15:15 - Big Easy              11/4

Wolv 18:30 - Lord of the Storm 11/4


Best of luck, and enjoy the racing