Midweek Premier League Football | Leicester v Chelsea | Stats

Only 25 minutes left until kick-off now, and Chelsea can edge closer to their fourth Premier League title if they can beat off the in-form Foxes, who are looking for their fifth consecutive league win, which would move them 4 points clear of the relegation zone; an incredible feat considering the position they were in earlier in the year. 

It should be an entertaining game, even if Chelsea try to prevent that! Leicester will be full of confidence, and will do their best to provide the entertainment in front of the home crowd, and are fighting for their lives in the Premier League. 


STATS

- There have been just eight goals scored in Leicester’s last six Premier League home matches (five of them for Leicester).

- Whilst in charge, Jose Mourinho has seen his Chelsea side keep a clean sheet in 103 of his 191 Premier League games (54%). 

The Blues have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 matches in the League.

- Chelsea’s Premier League unbeaten run now stands at 13 games (W9 D4) since their defeat to rivals Spurs on New Year’s Day.

- Chelsea have won their last 7 matches against Leicester in all competitions, and have scored at least 2 goals in their last 7 matches against Leicester, again in all competitions.

Premier League Football - Relegation Talk

On a day where Steve Bruce said Hull City needed to defend for their lives against Liverpool, they did just that, as the reds were left frustrated throughout, having dominated possession (69%), but once again, failing to find the net, from 12 efforts at goal (9 on target). It was Michael Dawson's first ever Hull City goal, in the 37th minute, which ensured the 1-0 victory for the tigers, which comes at the most crucial time for them, and now makes it back-to-back league wins, and clean sheets, after their 2-0 victory against Palace at the weekend, and moves them 4 points clear of the relegation zone. 

It's still going to be a tough few weeks for Hull, who face Arsenal, Burnley, Spurs and Manchester United for their remaining 4 fixtures, although 3 of the 4 are in front of their own fans, at the KC Stadium.


The one team that has continued to slide, and you have to fear for, is Newcastle United, who have now lost 7 league games in a row, after the most recent defeat at home to Swansea, and have only won 2 of their last 15 league games.

John Carvers side has remaining games at home to West Brom and West Ham, and away games at Leicester and QPR. They will be tough games, to say the least, and at the moment, you can't see Newcastle getting ANY points from those games. 


Leicester City, on the other hand, have surprised everyone over the last couple of weeks, and have notched four straight league wins, having failed to win since January in the League (8 games), when beating Villa 1-0 at home (L6 D2). It was another vital 3 points on Saturday, as they beat relegation rivals Burnley, 1-0 at Turf Moor.
Leicester feature in the second Barclays Premier League game of the midweek, as they face inevitable-champions Chelsea (or should that be 'Boring-Boring Chelsea') on Wednesday, at the King Power Stadium.
Leicester haven't managed five successive top-flight wins since January 1964!

After Wednesday's game, Leicester will have remaining home fixtures against Newcastle and Southampton, before travelling to the North East to take on Sunderland, and then their final game at home to QPR on the last day of the season.



QPR are another team with plenty to do in their final fixtures, if they want to survive the Premier League for another season, and I don't give them much chance to be honest. They've managed just 1 win in the last 9 league games, and just 2 wins in 17 league games. 
Three of Rangers' final 4 games come away from home, and they do have the worst away record in the Premier League, with just 2 wins and 13 defeats in 16 away games, scoring 17 goals, and conceding 36!

QPR have away trips to Anfield and then the Etihad, before a home game against Newcastle, and finally away to Leicester on the last day of the season, in what could potentially be, a very interesting game come the day!


My relegation 3 has changed from the other week, but I'm still undecided. Leicester may well have saved themselves, from what looked like inevitable relegation.
Burnley have been very poor of late, and haven't found the back of the net in their last 5 league games, since beating Manchester City 1-0 at Turf Moor, and have managed just 3 goals in the last 10 league games. 

It's now Burnley and QPR I fear for most, and that final relegation spot is open to any one from Sunderland to Newcastle, with some huge battles to come from the foot of the table in the next 4 weeks. 

Horse Racing UK - Ascot Free Tips

There's another day full of racing on Wednesday across the UK, with meetings at Ascot, Cheltenham, Lingfield (AW), Ponterfact and Wolverhampton (AW), as well as day 2 of the Punchestown Festival over in Ireland. Light rain/showers are predicted across all the cards.

Day 1 of Punchestown ensured Williw Mullins got off to a great start, as he hit a Grade 1-winning treble, with Douvan winning the Grade 1 Novices' Hurdle, Felix Yonger winning the Grade 1 Champion Chase and Valseur Lido taking the Grade 1 Champion Novices' Chase.

Below I've done a list of my best bets for Wednesday's Ascot meeting...........And don't forget to check out the FREE BETS page <<<<<<< on the left....for all the latest betting offers.


ASCOT

2:25 - GIFTED MASTER             6/4 StanJames

3:00 - MONTALCINO                 3/1 Bet365

3:30 - TAC DE BOISTRON          9/2 Paddy Power 

4:05 - LIMATO                         6/4 Paddy Power

4:35 - MONDIALISTE                2/1 Bet365

5:10 - EXCHEQUER                  6/1 Bet365
          DUELLING DRAGON       6/1 Bet365

Tuesday's Market Movers

POSITIVES

Brighton

3:25 NIMBLE KIMBLE     6/1 > 10/3

5:05 PERFECT PASTIME 6/1 > 7/2

Wolverhampton (AW)

2:35 FAST DANCER       1/1 > 7/10

4:05 BALTIC BRAVE      7/1 > 9/2

Nottingham

3:45 MR BISSTO           7/1 > 9/2



NEGATIVES

Brighton

2:25 JONNIE SKULL       5/1 > 15/2

5:05 EMILY DAVISON     9/2 > 7/1

Wolverhampton

2:35 RAHMAH           1.37/1 > 2/1

3:35 REPECHAGE         11/2 > 9/1

Nottingham

2:15 LADY PINNACLE    7/2 > 11/2

2:45 CELTIC SIXPENCE 7/2 > 6/1

4:50 STAR FIRE            2/1 > 11/4

Horse Racing Stats – Tuesday’s Cards

After all the sunshine we’ve had over the last week, it’s finally starting to turn across the country, with heavy showers expected at many of the race meetings today.

There are 5 meetings across the UK, and the start of Punchestown over in Ireland, where weather is predicted as cloudy at the moment.

I’m going to focus on stats for the afternoon meeting from Nottingham for this post;

NOTTINGHAM

When teaming up, Liam Jones and trainer Alan Coogan have a 60% strike rate. Coogan sends out RALPH MCTELL (2:15) who is currently 33/1. **NOW 100/1 BP

Jockey Joe Doyle is in good form of late, with a 31% strike rate over the last 2 weeks. He is also boasting a Level Stake Profit of +£83.75 this season (£1 stakes). Doyle takes the ride of ARTFUL PRINCE (2:45), who is a course-winner, and was beaten favourite last time out – Currently 7/1

Trainer David Elsworth has an impressive LSP of +£68.25 (£1 stakes), at Nottingham over the last few seasons, with a 21% strike rate.

Elsworths’ best form comes in handicaps, and especially 4yo+ handicaps, with a 31% strike rate, and 33% strike rate respectively, in 2015.

He sends out 3 runners to Nottingham;

2:45        DERULO                            10/1

              WATER DANCER               16/1 Non-Runner

3:45        DANSILI DASH                 12/1

Jockey, William Twiston-Davies has a strike rate of 75% when riding for owner Planetoid Partnership. The big negative is the fact William Twiston-Davies hasn’t won at this course in the last 5 seasons, from 22 rides. 

Twiston-Davies takes the ride of PLANETOID for trainer Jim Best in the 4:15 handicap, and is currently best priced 15/2.

Hull v Liverpool - A Scrappy Encounter?

Hull City v Liverpool Preview

There’s two midweek Barclays Premier League games this week, with Hull City and Liverpool on Tuesday, and Leicester City v Chelsea on the Wednesday. So, first up, the battle from the KC Stadium, where Liverpool travel to Hull, with both teams scrapping for their desired league position; Hull fighting relegation, and Liverpool trying to secure that Champions League spot, ahead of United, Arsenal and City.

Hull’s chances of staying up were boosted of course over the weekend, with their first league win in seven, courtesy of N’Doye’s brace. Hull City edged the majority of possession in the game, and had 21 shots at goal (7 on target) in total, compared to Palaces 7 (3 on target).

Hull City have won just one of the seven Barclays Premier League matches against Liverpool (W1 D3 L3), and have failed to score in 3 of their last 4 against the reds.

Hull haven’t kept consecutive clean sheets in the Premier League since 2013, and haven’t won back-to-back league games since February, when beating Villa, then QPR, both at the KC.

Despite a total of 74% possession away to West Brom, once again like a few times this season, Liverpool failed to take their chances, and managed just 5 shots on target from 22 shots at goal. 

Liverpool’s spending and transfers not good enough once again, especially up-front, when needing to replace Suarez;

Lambert – Decent player, very good in the air. The fact it was his dream club, and he was stacking shelves a few years ago, it was a ‘fairy tale’ transfer more than anything, which hasn’t paid off.

Ballotelli – What words can you use to describe this man…..There’s no doubt he has technical ability. If the signing pulls off; he settles and is banging in the goals, then it’s an absolute bargain for £16 million, but is the biggest risk in World football.

Borini – If memory serves me correctly, this player wanted to re-join Sunderland (on loan, or make a permanent move), but Rogers and Liverpool told him he couldn’t go, and should fight for his first team place. And he’s hardly stepped foot on a football pitch all season!
**Turns out I was mistaken about Borini, and it was him who wouldn't go, and wanted to fight for his place. I wonder if money influenced the decision......

And this is all after the £30+ million signing of Andy Carroll, what a fiasco that was!

And it was confirmed today that Sturridge may not feature again this season, as he struggles to shake off a hip problem. Sturridge has made just 12 starts in 2014/15, and is now out with his 15^th injury since joining Liverpool in January 2013.

Liverpool travel to Hull with just 8 wins from their 16 league games, away from home, so far this season, and with Hull’s confidence high after their weekend result, it will surely be a tough night for the reds. I can picture a scrappy encounter, with plenty of missed chances, and probably points shared, with both teams scoring. 

Free Horse Racing Tips - Monday

A new week, and another great day for racing as the sun continues to shine around the country.......it'll never last! Enjoy it now!

The greatest jockey, if not sportsman, of all time, A P McCoy had his final rides before retirement, in front of a full house at Sandown on Saturday, but unfortunately couldn't end his magnificent career with a win, as he finished 3rd on both Mr Mole, and Box Office. And I think we can all agree people definitely got carried away with the A P factor, as Box Office was never a 5/2 favourite.
The commitment and dedication, just to get that chance to ride another winner, even if it cost him more in travel expenses, was just phenomenal, not to mention the time away from the family and training involced. He may well be retiring as a jockey, but this man will be around the sport of horse racing for the rest of his life, and will be remembered by all, as the greatest of all time.


But, as with everything in life, we must go on, and there's plenty to be getting on with, and below is the free horse racing tips for Monday's evening meetings;


WINDSOR LUCKY 15 (1)

5:30 - SHANGHAI GLORY 11/4

6:00 - GOSSIPING 7/4

6:30 - WONDER LAISH 4/6

7:30 - LIGHT OF ASIA 2/1

£1 STAKES (£15 TOTAL) RETURNS £189


EACH-WAY DOUBLE

WIN 7:00 UNISON (6/1)

WOL 6:50 LADY ATLAS (7/2)

£5 EACH-WAY RETURNS £176.20


Good luck with your bets today, and check back later, for stats and additional tips for this evenings racing.

Where's the Internet Gone!?

As you'll have noticed, there's not been any posts the last couple of days, as my internet decided it was having a few days off to enjoy the sun......and enjoy the racing which saw A P McCoy ride out for the last time on Saturday. Great time to cut off!

Well, the internet is back, and so will the tips be, once I've sorted tonight's meetings out. Check back soon, thanks for your patience.

Free Horse Racing Tips - Lucky 15

Friday's finally here, and we have another packed day of racing to look forward to in the UK, including the Sandown meeting featuring two Group 3 races, and the Group 2 Bet365 Mile, which is Live on Channel 4.

Today's free horse racing tips come in the form of the Lucky 15, and here they are;


LUCKY 15 (1)

Don 1:50 AABIR 9/4 LOSE

Per 3:10 FIVE O'CLOCK TEA 9/2  WIN

Per 3:45 UNTIL WINNING 11/8 LOSE (FELL LAST)

Per 4:50 SON OF SUZIE 9/4

CORAL - £1 Stakes (£15 total) Returns £395.25



LUCKY 15 (2)

Per 2:40 MOUNTAIN KING 7/4  WIN

Don 2:50 WANTING 5/2  LOSE

Don 4:00 SIGNORE PICCOLO 5/2  LOSE

Per 4:20 FULL JACK 9/2  LOSE (2nd)

CORAL - £1 Stakes (£15 total) returns £492.59


Follow my blog for more tips, stats, free bets and more. Also check my Twitter @uksportsandbets or @JamesHarvey87

Have a great day......enjoy the racing! 

Stats for the All-Weather - Southwell - Thursday

SOUTHWELL - ALL-WEATHER

6:05 - Liam Jones has a strike-rate of 46% when riding out for Michael Appleby at Southwell. He takes the ride of LUV U LUCKY, who finished third on debut a fortnight ago.

LUV U LUCKY 11/2 Bet365


6:35 - Graham Gibbons has a 21% strike-rate on the all-weather this season, with a LSP of +£30.48 £1 stakes). Debt Free Claim is 0 from 2 at the distance, but finished 4th on reappearance 12 days ago, and can build on that.

DEBT FREE CLAIM 9/2 Bet365


8:05 - Trainer Conor Dore is showing a 26% strike-rate on the all-weather this season, with 19 winners from 74, and a LSP of +£57.00. An in-form Hayley Turner takes the ride of Megamunch in the last. Turner has 4 wins from 15 in the last fortnight (27% SR).

MEGAMUNCH 7/2 Bet365

Thursday's Racing UK - The Stats

The sun's still shining, there's another day full of UK horse racing......What could be better!? 
I suppose a few beers and winning bets to add to that would top it off nicely, so let's go through a few stats to try and find some winners!!

Yesterday was 'one of those days' for the tips, as 3 of the 6 hit the woodwork, and came in second. The stats post picked up a couple of winners, but hopefully today's stats can improve on that further.


PERTH

3:20 - Nicky Richards has had a good season, with a 26% strike-rate up to now, and a Level Stake Profit (LSP) of +£41.55 (£1 stakes) - 29% strike-rate in hurdles (LSP +£54.66).
Richards has won 3 of 12 hurdles races this season at Perth.
When teamed up with Brian Harding, the pair have a strike rate of 29% in hurdles in season. 

Back ONE FOR HARRY @ 12/1 SkyBet



4:20 - Conor Shoemark rides course-distance winner CREEVYTENANT in the 4:20. The combination have 5 wins from 8 rides. 
Creevytenant is 2 from 2 at the course, and 3 from 3 at the distance.

Back CREEVYTENANT @ 6/4 Bet365



WARWICK

2:40 - Leighton Aspell has been in good form of late, with 6 wins in his last 23 rides (26% strike-rate).
He has 1 win from 1 when teamed up with Charlie Longsdon this season.

Back NO NO MAC @ 11/4 Bet365


4:40 - Miss G Andrews and trainer Paul Cowley have a 50% strike-rate when teamed together.
Andrews has 1 win from 1 at the course.

Back BUSY BARO @ 66/1 Bet365


BEVERLEY

2:30 - Trianer Richard Fahey has a 22% strike rate so far this season, with a LSP of +£61.95. He's also in great form, with a 29% strike-rate over the last fortnight (LSP +£37.28).
When teamed together with Tony Hamilton this year, they have a strike-rate of 30%, which increases to 31% with 3 year olds. 

Back BILLY BOND @ 8/1 SkyBet


3:00 - Sir Michael Stoute has a strike rate of 39% over recent seasons at Beverley, with a LSP of +£8.49 (£1 stakes). 
Jockey Graham Gibbons has done well this year in 3 year old handicaps, with 7 wins from 37 rides (+£17.30).

Back PLEIADES @ 2/1 Coral

Wednesday's Racing - Ffos Las & Taunton - Key Stats

Ffos 6:05

Rebecca Curtis has a LSP of  +£31.40 from £1 stakes this season at Ffos Las. She is also in great form, with a 31% strike-rate over the last fortnight (5 wins from 16), and 4 winners from the last 6 she's sent out.

Back AUDACIOUS PLAN @ 2/1 Paddy Power WIN

Ffos 7:35

Jockey, Mr J P Williams and owner, Mrs E A Llewellyn have a 50% strike-rate when teamed together.

Back FLANAGANS FIELD @ 14/1 Bet365


Tau 5:15

Noel Fehily has ridden 13 winners from 52 rides at Taunton (25% strike-rate). Fehily has a 15% strike rate in handicap hurdles this season, with 17 winners from 117.

Back FLASHY STAR @ 3/1 Bet365

Tau 7:15

Nick Schofield has a 60% strike-rate when riding for Arthur Whiting at Taunton, and is in decent form with 4 wins from 20 runs in the last fortnight. He takes the ride of Itsuptoyou, who has 2 wins from 4 at the course over recent seasons.

Back ITSUPTOYOU @ 4/1 Paddy Power WIN

Wednesday's Best Bets

Tuesday’s tips only managed a couple of winners, with KAYF WILLOW (Advised 7/4 – Backed into 5/4 F) & KILBREE KID (Advised 13/2 – Backed into 5/1) coming in for us. Sublime Talent and Free Of Charge could only managed second, while the Bath tips both finishing fourth.

Hopefully we can get back on-track and find a couple more winners for tomorrow’s UK meetings, where we have flat racing from Catterick and Epsom, and jumps racing from Ffos Las, Perth and Taunton. Again, we’re set for some good weather, as the sun continues to shine mostly, across the UK, and all tracks being watered in preparation.  

Free Horse Racing Tips – Best Selections for Wednesday’s Racing

Perth

Best Bet   2:55 – INDIAN STREAM 7/2 Paddy Power  LOSE (2nd)

Next Best 4:05 – GORSKY ISLAND 9/2 William Hill  LOSE

Epsom

Best Bet   3:55 – MOUNT LOGAN 9/2 Bet365  LOSE

Next Best 2:10 – SECRET MISSILE 6/1 Ladbrokes  LOSE (2nd)

Catterick

Best Bet   2:00 – EL CHE 6/1 Bet365  LOSE

Next Best 2:35 – SPRING BIRD 9/2 Bet365  LOSE (2nd)

Free Horse Racing Tips - Tuesday's Selections

Monday started the week off perfectly for the selections, as we hit 4 winners from 6 picks, including DEFINITE SOLDIER (Advised 11/4 – Backed into 9/4 JF) and RESOLUTE REFORMER (Advised 7/2 – Backed into 9/4 F) from the Hexham picks.

Hopefully the good form can continue into Tuesday, where there’s UK meetings including Brighton, Exeter and Ludlow, with mostly sunny weather across the cards.

Free Horse Racing Tips - Best Selections for Tuesday's Racing

Brighton

BEST BET   5:45 – LU’S BUDDY 5/2 Bet365  LOSE

NEXT BEST 6:15 – TOP SET 4/1 Bet365  LOSE

Exeter

BEST BET   2:30  – FREE OF CHARGE      2/1 Paddy Power LOSE

NEXT BEST 4:35 – KAYF WILLOW           7/4 Bet365  WIN

Ludlow

BEST BET   2:10  – SUBLIME TALENT      2/1 Boylesports  LOSE

NEXT BEST 2:40 – KILBREE KID (EW)    13/2 Paddy Power  WIN

Free Horse Racing Tips

Free Horse Racing Tips - Best Selections for Monday's Racing 

Hexham

BEST BET   2:00 - DEFINITE SOLDIER    11/4 Bet365  WIN

NEXT BEST 3:40 – RESOLUTE REFORMER 7/2 Paddy Power  WIN

Newton Abbot

BEST BET   7:35 – LA BAGUE AU ROI       9/4 Paddy Power  WIN

NEXT BEST 6:35 – VIVANT POEME         10/3 Bet365  LOSE

Windsor

BEST BET   4:55 – GREAT PAGE              5/2 Bet365  WIN

NEXT BEST 5:25 - GO NANI GO             11/4 Coral  LOSE 

Horse Racing UK - Kempton Stats

There’s plenty of racing to enjoy to begin the week in the UK, and plenty of sun to go with it, with temperatures between 16-19 degrees across the meetings on Monday, although there will be cloud around in some parts, but not much chance of rain!

Monday’s cards include jumps racing at Hexham and Kempton, and flat racing from Pontefract, and Windsor in the evening.

For now, I’m focusing on a few stats for the meeting at Kempton, with the best bets from the stats provided, so here goes;

STATS

KEMPTON

Top Jockey – Course Record (last few seasons)

                                                        Wins      S/R         LSP (£1 Stakes)

Most Wins            Richard Johnson     20–101    20%        -12.13

                           Daryl Jacob           17–83      20%        +9.64

Best Strike-Rate   Micheal Nolan          1–3        33%        +1.00

                           Daryl Jacob           17–83      20%        +9.64

Best LSP               Tom Cannon           7–55      13%        +23.35

                           Daryl Jacob           17–83      20%        +9.64

Jockey’s In-Form – Last Fortnight

                                                       Wins        S/R         LSP (£1 Stakes)

Thomas Cheesman                            2 - 5        40%        +15.50

Nico de Boinville                               6 - 23       26%        -1.97

Leighton Aspell                                 4 - 19       21%        +21.80

Top Trainer - Course Record (last few seasons)

                                                       Wins        S/R         LSP (£1 Stakes)

Most Wins                Nicky Henderson 63–204    31%        +73.33

                               Paul Nicholls       32–149    21%        -19.54

Best Strike-Rate       Polly Gundry         1–2        50%        +6.00

                              Nicky Henderson  63–204    31%        +73.33

Best LSP                  Nicky Henderson  63–204    31%        +73.33

                               Polly Gundry         1–2        50%        +6.00

Trainer’s In-Form – Last Fortnight

                                                      Wins        S/R         LSP (£1 Stakes)

Alison Batchelor                               1 - 3        33%        +8.00

Colin Tizzard                                    3 - 13      23%        +22.38

Oliver Sherwood                               2 - 10      20%        +20.50

Nicky Henderson                             10 - 50      20%        -6.10

Best Bets from the Stats

2:20 – NICOLAS CHAUVIN            EVENS    Bet365

2:55 – ROAD TO FREEDOM                6/1    Paddy Power

3:30 – TANIOKEY                              4/6    Bet365

4:30 – ONE LUCKY LADY                 10/3    Boylesports

Chelsea v Manchester United Preview

Not long left now until the big kick-off between Chelsea and Manchester United from Stamford Bridge.

Manchester United announced yesterday, that there were injury concerns for Phil Jones, Daly Blind, Michael Carrick and Marcos Rojo, and that's far from ideal, especially since Carrick's come back into the team, United have looked much more composed in the middle of the park. 

Chelsea have Diego Costa missing with his hamstring problem, but have no other injury problems.

United come into the game off the back of a 4-2 win in the Manchester derby, and have won their last 6 Premier League games.
Van Gaal now look to have confirmed their top 4 placing for this season, and will be looking to dent Chelsea's hopes of landing their hands on the trophy, for just the 4th time. The blues need just 11 points from the remaining 7 games to secure the Premier League Title.
Chelsea haven't lost in 11 Premier League games, since their New Year's Day defeat to bitter rivals Spurs, losing 5-3 at White Hart Lane (W8 D3), but their scoring rate at present isn't great, and have only manage 2 or more goals in a game, twice in their last 7 league games. 

STATS

Chelsea have lost just one of their last 12 Barclays Premier League home games against Manchester United (W7 D4 L1).

Chelsea have scored 100 goals in 47 games this season (2.13 per game) while United have 68 in 38 matches (1.79).

United have scored 3 or more goals in 5 of their last 10 Premier League games, including 3 of the last 4.

Juan Mata has three goals and an assist in his last three Premier League games.

There have been OVER 2.5 goals in United's last 4 league games

PREDICTION

With Costa missing, and United suffering the injuries they have, I think it'll be a very tight game. Had United not lost the likes of Carrick and Blind, I'd have edged United to take the three points. But, with those injuries, I'm going for a draw.

DRAW 1-1

Horse Racing UK - What The Stats Say

A gorgeous day for racing across the country today, and there's plenty of meetings to look forward to, including Ayr featuring the Coral Scottish Grand National at 3:45, and flat racing from Newbury and Nottingham.

So, here's a few of the key stats and best bets for a couple of those cards;


NEWBURY

- When Jim Crowley and trainer Dominic Ffrench Davis have teamed up, they have an impressive 43% strike-rate and a level stakes profit of +£72.50 (£1 stakes) - Davis runs JELLY MONGER in the 2:15 - 50/1 BetVictor




- Dane O'Neill has a 100% strike-rate when riding for trainer John Gosden at Newbury - O'neill rides FANNAAN in the 2:50 - 11/1 BetVictor 



AYR

- Paul Nicholls has a 24% strike-rate this season, and a level stakes profit of +£59.06 - Nicholls also has a 37% strike-rate at the course over recent seasons - He runs SOLAR IMPULSE in the 2:00 - 4/1 across the board




- Jim Goldie-trained TOO COOL TO FOOL has 3 wins from 5 in Jumps races at Ayr, with anoverall 35% strike-rate at the course. He runs in the 4:55 - 16/1 Boylesports




- Jockey Sam Bowen has been in great form over the last couple of weeks, with 10 winners from 25, a 40% strike-rate - He takes the ride of SIR WILL in the 5:30 - 5/1 Boylesport

Horse Racing Stats - Bath

A couple of the stats from this afternoon's horse racing came in positive (check here), so lets have a look at some of the stats for this evening's card at Bath, and see if we can weed out some more winners.

It's going to be quick underfoot at Bath with the ground officially reported as firm, good to firm in places.

Clear, sunny weather is expected with the temperature dial set to hit 14C or 15C.

- Franny Norton has a 67% strike-rate when riding for Jo Hughes at Bath. He's on-board FROSTMAN in the 5:10 - 2/1 with SkyBet

- Martin Dwyer has a 20% strike-rate at Bath, with 18 wins from 90 rides. He rides PIXELEEN in the 5:40 - 16/1 with BET365

- Martin Dwyer has a strike-rate of 43% when riding for trainer Marcus Tregoning, at Bath. FAST GOLD is his ride in the 6:45 - 9/1 Coral

- Declan Bates shows a level stake profit of +£ 43.50 when riding for David Evans this season. He climbs aboard CABUCHON in the 7:15 - 7/1 Boylesports


TOP JOCKEY (Bath)

Most Wins - Dane O'neill 17 wins from 107 (16% strike-rate)

TOP TRAINER (Bath)

Most Wins - Mick Channon 24 wins from 203 (12% strike-rate)

FAVOURITES AT BATH

Non-Handicap - 56 wins from 139 (40% strike-rate)

Handicaps       - 131 wins from 418 (31% strike-rate)

Premier League Preview - The Stats

C Palace v W Brom

Palace have won both of their previous Premier League games against West Brom at Selhurst Park, scoring three goals on both occasions.

Glenn Murray is on-fire at the moment, scoring six goals and assisting three more in his last six Premier League appearances.

West Brom conceded seven goals in Pulis's first nine Premier League games in charge but have conceded 10 in the last three.

Everton v Burnley

Everton have won more points in their last four Premier League games (10) than they had in their previous 12 (7).

Burnley have failed to score in five of their last six league matches, netting once against Man City in the other.

Everton have conceded only two goals in their last five Premier League home games.

The Clarets have only ever won two of their 34 Premier League away games.

Leicester v Swansea

Swansea have taken 10 points from their last four Premier League games in April (W3 D1).

Bafétimbi Gomis has three goals in his last three Premier League appearances.

The home side has won the last seven competitive meetings between Leicester City and Swansea City.

Stoke v Southampton

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in Southampton's last 10 games in the Premier League.

Southampton are undefeated in their last 6 games against Stoke in all competitions.

Stoke are looking to end the run of 4 games without a win in the league (L3 D1), where they've managed just 3 goals, and conceded 6. They haven't lost two home league games in a row, since the beginning of the season.


There will be a separate post for the Chelsea v Manchester United Preview, so keep a look out over the next 24 hours. 

Horse Racing Stats

There's quite a few meetings across the UK today, including Ayr, Bath, Newbury, and Southwell, so here's some stats to get you thinking, and put you in control today.

AYR

- Nicky Richards has a 25% strike-rate this season, from 182 runners, with a level stakes profit of +£34.55 (£1 stakes) - He has SIR VINSKI in the 2:30, and WICKED SPICE in the 4:45 - Back the double on BET365 @ 32/1

- Martin Todhunter-trained PRESENTING JUNIOR has won 3 from 4 jumps races at Ayr - Currently 11/2 - Runs in the 3:05

- James Reveley has a 67% strike-rate when riding for owner Exors of the Late John Hogg - He takes the ride on AYE WELL in the 3:35, and is currently 7/2 with BET365


NEWBURY

- Saeed bin Suroor has a 30% strike-rate this season from 82 runners, with a level stakes profit of +£43.32 (£1 stakes) - He sends out WINTERS MOON in the 2:50 - Currently 9/4 

- James Doyle has an impressive 35% strike rate over the last fortnight, with 9 wins from 26 rides. He's on-board STRONG CHEMISTRY in the 3:25, and is currently best-priced 9/2


Back, STRONG CHEMISTRY, WINTERS MOON, PRESENTING JUNIOR and SIR VINSKI, in a 4-fold @ 461/1 

Horse Racing - Stats for Newmarket

A few Newmarket stats for you, for this afternoons card, which starts at 1:45, and includes the Fillies Group 3 Lanwades Stud Nell Gwyn Stakes

TOP JOCKEY

Most Wins             Richard Hughes 31 wins from 206 (15%)
                           Paul Hanagan    30 wins from 204 (15%)

Best Strike-Rate     Andrew Mullen    2 wins from 10   (20%)
                           De Sousa          20 wins from 120 (17%)

Best LSP (£1 stakes) De Sousa      20 wins from 120 (17%) +84.07
                             Kieren Fallon 16 wins from 126 (13%) +67.09


TOP TRAINER

Most Wins            John Gosden           31 wins from 203 (15%)
                         Mark Johnston        25 wins from 200 (13%)

Best Strike-Rate   Martyn Meade           3 wins from 8     (38%)
                         Michael Appleby        5 wins from 20   (25%)

Best LSP (£1 stakes) Martyn Meade     3 wins from 8     (38%) +63.00
                             Richard Hannon 14 wins from 78   (18%) +51.41


BEST 2 TIPS FROM THE STATS

2:20 - RAVENHOE 6/4 Coral                     Danger; City Of Stars 10/1 SkyBet

4:05 - MURAAQABA 13/2 Sporting Bet      Danger; Marsh Hawk 7/1 SkyBet

Premier League Football - Leicester v Swansea Preview – Draw Written All Over It!?

There are just five Premier League games this Saturday, with the FA Cup games being played, with Chelsea v Manchester United the stand-out game, in the evening kick-off. Hull City have the luxury of a two week break until their next fixture against in-form Crystal Palace, although it will surely be an anxious watch of the teams around them, and how they get on, with Hull slipping slowly towards that relegation zone, and with the toughest of remaining fixtures to come.

So, a look at the game which sees Swansea travel to Leicester, and after quick analysis of the stats and teams, it has draw written all over it for me!

Leicester managed to complete back-to-back league wins for the first time since the beginning of the season last weekend, but have failed to win back-to-back home games in the league all season.

And it’s similar when you look at Swansea’s away record this season, without two straight wins all season, in all competitions.

Swansea however, have won 4 of their last 7 league games, and are unbeaten in 3 (conceding just 3 goals in their last 4 games), while Leicester have won their last 2 league games, and scored 8 goals in their last 3 games.

I’d be shocked if Leicester could pull off a third consecutive league win, and believe the last few games will have taken too much from them, to get all three points here.

The last six meetings between the sides, in all competitions, has seen each team win 3, and lose 3. The winning team in those 6 meetings, was always the home side.

PREDICTION

So, looking through the stats and analysis a bit more thoroughly, I still haven’t come to a clear conclusion to this game. My head says draw – 1-1 (11/2 bet365) and I think that’s what I’ll stick with.

Check back soon for the preview for Chelsea v Manchester United, and also more stats, tips and opinions on premier league football and horse racing. 

Free Horse Racing Tips - Tuesday

We had a couple of winners yesterday from our three picks, including 6/1 shot Lear's Rock in the 4:10 Handicap at Windsor, as the bay gelding made nearly all, before drawing clear 1 furlong out, to take the win for trainer Ralph Beckett. So, onto Tuesday, and we'll look to continue yesterday's success, with picks from the all-weather card at Southwell.

LUCKY 15

2:20 - LAZY SIOUX          15/8 bet365

2:50 - QUEEN OF SKIES    9/4  bet365

3:20 - SPITFIRE               5/2   bet365

5:30 - HAINES                 8/11 bet365

£1 stakes (£15 total) RETURNS £201.12

Horse Racing - Stats For Kelso

KELSO STATS - MONDAY'S RACING 

TOP JOCKEY - Strike-Rate %

Mr C Dawson        3 from 6 - 50%

Diarmuid O'Regan 4 from 11 - 36%

James Cowley       1 from 3 - 33%

Joe Colliver           4 from 14 - 29%

Dale Irving           5 from 17 -29%

Tony Kelly            7 from 45 - 16%


TOP JOCKEY (Most Wins at the Course) - Brian Hughes 29 from 211 (14%)


TOP TRAINER - Strike-Rate %

Katie Scott         4 from 13 - 31%

Mark Walford      3 from 10 - 30%

Donald McCain  40 from 155 - 26%

Keith Reveley     7 from 32 - 22%

Karen McLintock 4 from 18 - 22%

TOP TRAINER (Most Wins at the Course) - Donald McCain 40 from 155 (26%)


IN-FORM JOCKEY (LAST FORTNIGHT) - David Bass 8 wins from 23 (35%) - Rides Brian Ellison-trained PRESENTED in the 4:30 Handicap Chase (12/1 - bet365)


HORSES - COURSE WINS

2:30
ENDEAVOR           5 from 19 (26%)
SOME LAD            1 from 7 (14%)
KAI BROON          2 from 7 (29%)

3:00
HUNTERS BELT     3 from 5 (60%)
MO ROUGE 1 from 2 (50%)

4:00
TOTAL ASSETS     1 from 3 (33%)
IVAN BORU          1 from 1 (100%)
LANDECKER         3 from 5 (60%)

4:30
ISLA PEARL FISHER 3 from 11 (27%)
MISTER MARKER     1 from 6 (17%)
BIG SOUND            1 from 1 (100%)
LORD BRENDY        1 from 3 (33%)

5:30
BEIDH TINE ANSEO 1 from 8 (13%)
BALLYVOQUE          1 from 4 (25%)
BLACKWATER KING 1 from 1 (100%)

I hope you enjoy the blog, please share it around and follow me on Twitter and Google+ and check back soon for more chat, tips, stats from the UK horse racing and football world.